Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 25, 2026 5.30pm
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 4.30pm
Man City 2 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.00pm
Newcastle 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Anthony Gordon

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.63%. A draw has a probability of 20.37% and a win for Newcastle United has a probability of 14.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.18%) , while for a Newcastle United win it is 0-1 (4.31%).

Result

Arsenal 65.63%
Draw 20.37%
Newcastle United 14.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.08%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.35%
Under 1.5 21.65%
Over 2.5 55.32%
Under 2.5 44.68%
Over 3.5 32.66%
Under 3.5 67.34%
Over 4.5 21.32%
Under 4.5 78.68%

First Half Winner

Arsenal 47.12%
Draw 36.22%
Newcastle United 16.66%

Team To Score First

Arsenal 65.52%
No Goal 6.04%
Newcastle United 28.44%

Corners

Over 8 65.73%
Equal 8 11.1%
Under 8 23.17%
Over 9 53.6%
Equal 9 12.14%
Under 9 34.27%
Over 10.5 41.57%
Under 10.5 58.43%

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 60.57%
Under 1.5 39.43%
Over 2.5 33.22%
Under 2.5 66.78%
Over 3.5 15.16%
Under 3.5 84.84%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 47.83%
Under 0.5 52.17%
Over 1.5 17.84%
Under 1.5 82.16%
Over 2.5 5.12%
Under 2.5 94.88%
Over 3.5 1.38%
Under 3.5 98.62%

Score analysis

Arsenal 65.63%
Draw 20.37%
Newcastle United 14.04%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 11.97%
1-0 @ 11.34%
2-1 @ 10.31%
3-0 @ 7.96%
3-1 @ 6.19%
3-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 14.9%
Total : 65.63%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.18%
0-0 @ 6.04%
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 20.37%
Newcastle United
0-1 @ 4.31%
1-2 @ 3.95%
0-2 @ 1.87%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 14.04%

Head to Head

Premier League
Sep 28, 2025 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club Friendlies 1 Gameweek 1
Jul 27, 2025 12.30pm
Club Friendlies 1
Jul 27, 2025 12.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Declan Rice 55' goal
  • Mikel Arteta 81' yellowcard
  • Mikel Arteta 81' yellowcard
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Jakub Kiwior 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emil Krafth 64'
  • yellowcard Joe Willock 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 90'+8'
EFL Cup
Feb 5, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Alexander Isak 4' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 20' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 47' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 52' goal
  • Fabian Schar 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 42'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 44'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 83'
EFL Cup
Jan 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Oleksandr Zinchenko 81' yellowcard
  • goal Alexander Isak 38'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 42'
  • goal Anthony Gordon 51'
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 55'
  • yellowcard Tino Livramento 90'+5'