Champions League
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 30.15% and a draw has a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (7.11%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.44%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 46.68% (+3.47)
Draw 23.2% (-1.02)
Arsenal 30.15% (-2.39)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.07% (+3.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.66% (+2.96)
Under 1.5 19.34% (-2.97)
Over 2.5 58.96% (+4.24)
Under 2.5 41.04% (-4.24)
Over 3.5 36.81% (+4.10)
Under 3.5 63.19% (-4.10)
Over 4.5 22.84% (+3.22)
Under 4.5 77.16% (-3.22)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 37.76% (+2.80)
Draw 37.45% (-0.43)
Arsenal 24.78% (-2.38)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 55.7% (+3.32)
No Goal 4.91% (-1.00)
Arsenal 39.39% (-2.32)

Corners

Over 8 57.19% (-0.31)
Equal 8 10.95% (-0.04)
Under 8 31.86% (+0.34)
Over 9 46.08% (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.11% (-0.07)
Under 9 42.81% (+0.31)
Over 10.5 35.68% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 64.32% (+0.18)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 48.96% (+5.07)
Under 1.5 51.04% (-5.07)
Over 2.5 24.44% (+4.00)
Under 2.5 75.56% (-4.00)
Over 3.5 10.32% (+2.21)
Under 3.5 89.68% (-2.20)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% (-1.10)
Under 0.5 34.54% (+1.09)
Over 1.5 35.14% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 64.86% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 14.56% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 85.44% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 5.19% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 94.81% (-0.30)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 46.7%
Draw 23.19%
Arsenal 30.16%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.81% (+0.35)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.75)
2-0 @ 7.04% (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.89% (+0.56)
3-0 @ 4.32% (+0.59)
3-2 @ 3.32% (+0.40)
Other @ 10.02% (+2.15)
Total : 46.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.78)
2-2 @ 5.95% (+0.44)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-1.00)
3-3 @ 1.59% (+0.26)
Other @ 0.3% (+0.05)
Total : 23.19%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.49)
0-1 @ 6.18% (-1.15)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.69)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.72% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.31)
Other @ 4.89% (+0.25)
Total : 30.16%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Ousmane Diomande 4' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Inacio 47' goal
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 7'
  • goal Kai Havertz 22'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raya 52'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 65'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 82'
Europa League
Mar 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Emirates Stadium
  • Granit Xhaka 19' goal
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 62'
Europa League
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Goncalo Inacio 34' goal
  • Paulinho 55' goal
  • goal William Saliba 22'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 62' (OG)
Europa League Gameweek 4
Nov 8, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium (London)
  • Stephan Lichtsteiner 21' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Luis 74'
  • redcard Jeremy Mathieu 87'
Europa League Gameweek 3
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcos Acuna 39' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 71' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rob Holding 46'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 52'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 77'