Champions League
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 7, 2026 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Arsenal
  • Daniel Bragança 62' yellowcard
  • Rafael Nel 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kai Havertz 70'
  • yellowcard Max Dowman 76'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 76'
  • goal Kai Havertz 90'+1'

Sporting Lisbon vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Arsenal

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 30.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 46.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.17% ▼ (-0.03)
Arsenal 30.16% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.59% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 19.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 58.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.05% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 36.84% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 63.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 22.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 77.15% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 37.76%
Draw 37.45%
Arsenal 24.78%

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 55.71% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
Arsenal 39.39%

Corners

Over 8 57.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 8 10.95%
Under 8 31.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 46.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.11%
Under 9 42.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 10.5 35.69% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64.31% ▼ (-0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 48.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 1.5 51.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 2.5 24.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 75.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 65.39% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 0.5 34.61% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 1.5 35.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.9% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.45% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.18% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.82% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 46.65%
Draw 23.17%
Arsenal 30.14%
Sporting Lisbon
2-1 @ 8.79% ▼ (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.29% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 46.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 4.9% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.17%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.91%
Other @ 4.89%
Total : 30.14%

Head to Head

Champions League
Sporting Lisbon
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
5
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Arsenal
  • Ousmane Diomande 4' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Inacio 47' goal
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 7'
  • goal Kai Havertz 22'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard David Raya 52'
  • goal Bukayo Saka 65'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 82'
Europa League
Arsenal
Mar 16, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
ET Emirates Stadium
Sporting Lisbon
  • Granit Xhaka 19' goal
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 62'
Europa League
Sporting Lisbon
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Arsenal
  • Goncalo Inacio 34' goal
  • Paulinho 55' goal
  • goal William Saliba 22'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 62' (OG)
Europa League Gameweek 4
Arsenal
Nov 8, 2018 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium (London)
Sporting Lisbon
  • Stephan Lichtsteiner 21' yellowcard
  • Matteo Guendouzi 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos Acuna 67'
  • yellowcard Miguel Luis 74'
  • redcard Jeremy Mathieu 87'
Europa League Gameweek 3
Sporting Lisbon
Oct 25, 2018 5.55pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arsenal
  • Marcos Acuna 39' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Coates 71' yellowcard
  • Jovane Cabral 90' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rob Holding 46'
  • yellowcard Henrikh Mkhitaryan 52'
  • goal Danny Welbeck 77'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 4 - 2 Santa Clara
Alverca 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 5 - 0 Bodo/Glimt
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 0 Tondela
Bodo/Glimt 3 - 0 Sporting Lisbon
Braga 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Southampton 2 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 0 - 2 Man City
Arsenal 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Arsenal 2 - 0 Everton
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Arsenal
Mansfield 1 - 2 Arsenal

Build-up

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