Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 37.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.01%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 (7.76%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.