Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 7, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 6.00pm
Nacional 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Braga has a probability of 34.53% and a draw has a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Braga win is 1-0 (8.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.2%).

Result

Braga 34.53% (+0.54)
Draw 26.41% (+0.08)
Sporting Lisbon 39.1% (-0.61)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.96% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 24.04% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 52.17% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.83% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.32%
Under 3.5 70.64% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.31% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 83.69% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Braga 33.39%
Draw 39.18%
Sporting Lisbon 27.44%

Team To Score First

Braga 50.2% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.85% (-0.02)
Sporting Lisbon 42.95%

Corners

Over 8 42.61%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 46%
Over 9 32.29%
Equal 9 10.32%
Under 9 57.39%
Over 10.5 23.64%
Under 10.5 76.36%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 36.08% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 63.92% (-0.46)
Over 2.5 14.24% (+0.25)
Under 2.5 85.76% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 4.66% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 95.34% (-0.10)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 72.46% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 27.54% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 39.92% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 60.08% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 16.79% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 83.21% (+0.31)
Over 3.5 5.75% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 94.25% (+0.16)

Score analysis

Braga 34.53%
Draw 26.4%
Sporting Lisbon 39.09%
Braga
1-0 @ 8.36% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.19% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.25% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 3.3% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.69% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.33% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.41% (+0.09)
Total : 34.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.85% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.84% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 26.4%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 8.85% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 8.62% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.35% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.5% (-0.16)
Total : 39.09%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 5, 2025 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2025 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Viktor Gyokeres 3' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 15' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 64' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 85' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah St Juste 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 14'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 30'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 61'
  • yellowcard Sikou Niakate 65'
  • goal Afonso Cruz Patrao 87'
  • redcard Joao Moutinho 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 6.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Ricardo Horta 20' goal
  • Joao Ferreira 38' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 45' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Amine El Ouazzani 57' yellowcard
  • Paulo Oliveira 68' yellowcard
  • Gabri Martinez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 13'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 53'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 58'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 80'
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 81'
  • goal Conrad Harder 89'
  • yellowcard Geovany Tcherno Quenda 90'+1'
  • goal Conrad Harder 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Francisco Trincao 8' goal
  • Eduardo Quaresma 18' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 71' goal
  • Daniel Braganca 73' goal
  • Nuno Santos 85' goal
Taca da Liga
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
  • Abel Ruiz 65' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Quaresma 15'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 45'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Sikou Niakate 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 78' goal
  • Vitor Carvalho 83' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 25'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 27'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 33'
  • yellowcard R. Amorim 40'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 90'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 90'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+4'