Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Braga
Mar 7, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon
  • Ricardo Horta 34' goal
  • Gabriel Moscardo 46' yellowcard
  • Gabri Martínez 68' yellowcard
  • Gorby 69' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 78' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 87' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 88' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Gonçalo Inácio 22'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Luís Guilherme 73'
  • yellowcard João Simões 73'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Quaresma 81'

Braga vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Feb 28, 2026 6.00pm
Nacional 1 - 2 Braga
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 27, 2026 8.45pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Braga had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result

Braga 34.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 26.41%
Sporting Lisbon 39.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.82% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.98% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 52.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 47.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 29.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.32% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.68% ▼ (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Braga 33.39%
Draw 39.18%
Sporting Lisbon 27.44%

Team To Score First

Braga 50.21% ▲ (+0.03)
No Goal 6.84% ▼ (-0.03)
Sporting Lisbon 42.95%

Corners

Over 8 42.36% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.78% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 8 45.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 9 31.72% ▼ (-0.58)
Equal 9 10.64% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 9 57.64% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 22.84% ▼ (-0.81)
Under 10.5 77.16% ▲ (+0.80)

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 36.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 63.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 14.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.65% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.35% ▲ (+0.01)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 72.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 39.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.05% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 16.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 83.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.76% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.24% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Braga 34.5%
Draw 26.41%
Sporting Lisbon 39.09%
Braga
1-0 @ 8.34% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 8.19% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31%
3-0 @ 2.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 34.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 26.41%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 8.84% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.34% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56%
Other @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 39.09%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Oct 5, 2025 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Braga
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 7, 2025 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Braga
  • Viktor Gyokeres 3' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 15' goal
  • Goncalo Inacio 64' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 85' yellowcard
  • Jeremiah St Juste 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 14'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 30'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 61'
  • yellowcard Sikou Niakate 65'
  • goal Afonso Cruz Patrao 87'
  • redcard Joao Moutinho 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Braga
Nov 10, 2024 6.45pm
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon
  • Ricardo Horta 20' goal
  • Joao Ferreira 38' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 45' goal
  • Roger Fernandes 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Amine El Ouazzani 57' yellowcard
  • Paulo Oliveira 68' yellowcard
  • Gabri Martinez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 13'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 53'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 58'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 80'
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 81'
  • goal Conrad Harder 89'
  • yellowcard Geovany Tcherno Quenda 90'+1'
  • goal Conrad Harder 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 11, 2024 6.00pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Braga
  • Francisco Trincao 8' goal
  • Eduardo Quaresma 18' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 71' goal
  • Daniel Braganca 73' goal
  • Nuno Santos 85' goal
Taca da Liga
Braga
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dr. Magalhaes Pessoa
Sporting Lisbon
  • Abel Ruiz 65' goal
  • Joao Moutinho 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Eduardo Quaresma 15'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 45'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Braga
Sep 3, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Sporting Lisbon
  • Sikou Niakate 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 78' goal
  • Vitor Carvalho 83' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 90'+3' redcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 25'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 27'
  • yellowcard Hidemasa Morita 33'
  • yellowcard R. Amorim 40'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 90'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 90'
  • yellowcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+4'

Form Data

Nacional 1 - 2 Braga
Braga 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Braga
Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave
AVS 0 - 4 Braga
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 Braga
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Porto
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Moreirense 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Famalicao
Porto 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 AVS