Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 73.04%. A draw had a probability of 17.72% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 9.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (10.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%) , while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.