Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 66.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.72% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 12.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.25%) and 1-2 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%) , while for a Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.