Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw has a probability of 20.88% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 13.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.02%) , while for a Arouca win it is 1-0 (4.75%).