Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
AVS 0 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 8.15pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw has a probability of 20.88% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 13.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (10.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.02%) , while for a Arouca win it is 1-0 (4.75%).

Result

Arouca 13.6% (+0.04)
Draw 20.88% (-0.57)
Sporting Lisbon 65.49% (+0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.15% (+0.84)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.5% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 23.5% (-1.08)
Over 2.5 55.21% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 44.79% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 32.15% (+0.67)
Under 3.5 67.85% (-0.68)
Over 4.5 20.22% (+0.51)
Under 4.5 79.78% (-0.52)

First Half Winner

Arouca 13.19% (-0.43)
Draw 29.75% (-0.33)
Sporting Lisbon 57.06% (+0.77)

Team To Score First

Arouca 20.98% (-0.29)
No Goal 6.51% (-0.62)
Sporting Lisbon 72.51% (+0.90)

Corners

Over 8 62.14% (+0.25)
Equal 8 10.75% (+0.03)
Under 8 27.1% (-0.29)
Over 9 50.81% (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.33% (+0.07)
Under 9 37.86% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 39.84% (+0.13)
Under 10.5 60.16% (-0.13)

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 17.25% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 82.75% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 4.61% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 95.39% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 1.06% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 98.94% (+0.10)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 85.72% (+0.60)
Under 0.5 14.28% (-0.61)
Over 1.5 59.69% (+0.93)
Under 1.5 40.31% (-0.93)
Over 2.5 33.27% (+0.47)
Under 2.5 66.73% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 14.38% (+0.40)
Under 3.5 85.62% (-0.40)

Score analysis

Arouca 13.6%
Draw 20.88%
Sporting Lisbon 65.48%
Arouca
1-0 @ 4.75% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 3.67% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 1.6% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 1.14% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.06% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.88% (-0.02)
Total : 13.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.02% (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.51% (-0.62)
2-2 @ 4.32% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.18% (-0.09)
Total : 20.88%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 12.2% (-0.52)
0-2 @ 10.67% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 10.37% (+0.28)
0-3 @ 8.53% (-0.08)
1-3 @ 6.46% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 3.05% (+0.19)
Other @ 14.2% (+0.47)
Total : 65.48%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 17, 2025 8.30pm
6
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Conrad Harder 17' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 62' redcard
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 69' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 74' goal
  • goal Rui Silva 8' (OG)
  • goal Henrique Araujo 45'+5'
  • yellowcard David Simao 79'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2024 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Morlaye Sylla 54' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 60' yellowcard
  • Mamadou N'Diaye 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 24'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 73'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • David Simao 80' yellowcard
  • Nino Galovic 84' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 19'
  • goal Geny Catamo 90'+1'
  • goal Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Ousmane Diomande 29' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 31' goal
  • Ousmane Diomande 42' redcard
  • Marcus Edwards 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Quaresma 62' yellowcard
  • Hidemasa Morita 68' goal
  • yellowcard Rafa Mujica 29'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 52'
  • yellowcard Cristo 58'
  • yellowcard Weverson 60'
  • yellowcard Rafael Fernandes 64'
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 74'
  • redcard Rafael Fernandes 87'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 16, 2023 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Pedro Goncalves 87' goal
  • goal Antony 38'