Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for AVS had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.