Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete 54' yellowcard
  • Ángel Algobia Esteves 72' yellowcard
  • Ânderson Miguel da Silva 72' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Neiva Silva 80' yellowcard
  • Jaume Grau Ciscar 80' yellowcard
  • goal Iván Barbero 42'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 46'
  • yellowcard Pablo Gozálbez 67'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 72'
  • yellowcard Mateo Flores 72'
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 84'

AVS vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 8.30pm
AVS 0 - 2 Moreirense
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Tomane

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.30pm
Tondela 3 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for AVS had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest AVS win was 1-0 (9.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.

Result

AVS 31.87% (+0.04)
Draw 27% (-0.04)
Arouca 41.16% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.68% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.65% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 28.35% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 46.43% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 53.57% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 24.92% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 75.08% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 12.87% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 87.13% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

AVS 24.5%
Draw 45.74%
Arouca 29.76%

Team To Score First

AVS 44.34% (+0.02)
No Goal 8% (-0.03)
Arouca 47.66% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.49%
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 38.45%
Over 9 37.97%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 50.51%
Over 10.5 27.86%
Under 10.5 72.14%

AVS Goals

Over 1.5 30.87% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 69.13% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.69% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.31% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.95% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.05% (-0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 72.48% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 27.52% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 38.38% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 61.62% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 15.4% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 84.6% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.93% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.07% (-0.04)

Score analysis

AVS 31.87%
Draw 26.99%
Arouca 41.16%
AVS
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.51% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.03%
3-2 @ 2% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.9% (+0.03)
Total : 31.87%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 26.99%
Arouca
0-1 @ 11% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.49% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.21%
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.48%
2-3 @ 2.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.88% (+0.04)
Total : 41.16%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 9, 2025 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Lucas Fernandes 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 45'+4'
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Ivo Rodrigues 7' yellowcard
  • Jason 30' goal
  • David Simao 59' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Silva 45'+2'
  • goal Gustavo Assuncao 77'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 87'
Taca da Liga
Sep 26, 2023 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Balla Sangare 23' yellowcard
  • Carlos Daniel Barbosa da Silva 59' goal
  • Leo Alaba 90'+5' redcard
  • Idrissa Dioh 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jason 17'
  • goal Cristo 67'
  • yellowcard David Simao 90'+9'