Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves

AVS vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AVS

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 8.30pm
AVS 0 - 2 Moreirense
Goals scored
11
Top scorer
Oscar Perea

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 3, 2026 3.30pm
Tondela 3 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for AVS has a probability of 31.83% and a draw has a probability of 27.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest AVS win is 1-0 (9.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.8%).

Result

AVS 31.83% (+0.02)
Draw 27.02% (+0.02)
Arouca 41.15% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.61% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.59% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.41% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.33% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.67% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.89% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 75.11% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 12.84% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.16% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

AVS 24.5%
Draw 45.75%
Arouca 29.75%

Team To Score First

AVS 44.38% (+0.07)
No Goal 8.02% (+0.02)
Arouca 47.6% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 49.54%
Equal 8 12.06%
Under 8 38.4% (-0.01)
Over 9 38.02%
Equal 9 11.52%
Under 9 50.45% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 27.91% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 72.09% (-0.01)

AVS Goals

Over 1.5 30.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 69.21% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 10.65% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 89.35% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.94% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 97.06% (+0.02)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 72.46% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 27.54% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 38.35% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.65% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.39% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.61% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.92% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.08% (+0.02)

Score analysis

AVS 31.82%
Draw 27.03%
Arouca 41.16%
AVS
1-0 @ 9.39% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 2.82%
3-0 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.89% (-0.01)
Total : 31.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8%
0-0 @ 8.02% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 27.03%
Arouca
0-1 @ 11.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.96%
0-3 @ 3.47% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.87% (-0.01)
Total : 41.16%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 9, 2025 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 8, 2025 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
  • Lucas Fernandes 42' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 45'+4'
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Ivo Rodrigues 7' yellowcard
  • Jason 30' goal
  • David Simao 59' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Silva 45'+2'
  • goal Gustavo Assuncao 77'
  • yellowcard Fernando Fonseca 87'
Taca da Liga
Sep 26, 2023 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Balla Sangare 23' yellowcard
  • Carlos Daniel Barbosa da Silva 59' goal
  • Leo Alaba 90'+5' redcard
  • Idrissa Dioh 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Jason 17'
  • goal Cristo 67'
  • yellowcard David Simao 90'+9'