Primeira Liga
Gameweek
21
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Flislog.png)
Porto vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F02%2Fjoao-simeos-l-luis-suarez-and-francisco-trincao-celebrate-a-sporting-lisbon-goal-on-december-28-2025-69881c59272af366610278.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Sporting Lisbon has a probability of 27.51% and a draw has a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win is 1-2 (7.1%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.4%).
Result
Porto
48.08%
▼
(-1.14)
Draw
24.37%
▲
(+0.17)
Sporting Lisbon
27.51%
▲
(+0.94)
Both Teams to Score:
56.98%
▲
(+0.51)
Goals
Over 1.5
77.92%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
22.08%
▼
(-0.31)
Over 2.5
54.69%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
45.31%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
31.31%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 3.5
68.69%
▼
(-0.21)
Over 4.5
17.7%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 4.5
82.3%
▼
(-0.24)
First Half Winner
Porto
34.98%
▼
(-0.37)
Draw
38.6%
▼
(-0.77)
Sporting Lisbon
26.42%
▲
(+1.14)
Team To Score First
Porto
55.22%
▼
(-1.50)
No Goal
5.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Sporting Lisbon
39.03%
▲
(+1.61)
Corners
Over 8
51.6%
▲
(+0.65)
Equal 8
11.46%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 8
36.95%
▼
(-0.92)
Over 9
40.46%
▲
(+0.32)
Equal 9
11.13%
▲
(+0.33)
Under 9
48.4%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 10.5
30.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 10.5
69.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Porto Goals
Over 1.5
47.85%
▼
(-0.63)
Under 1.5
52.15%
▲
(+0.63)
Over 2.5
21.7%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 2.5
78.3%
▲
(+0.35)
Over 3.5
7.98%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
92.02%
▲
(+0.23)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5
64.03%
▲
(+0.97)
Under 0.5
35.97%
▼
(-0.97)
Over 1.5
31.29%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 1.5
68.71%
▼
(-1.09)
Over 2.5
11.48%
▲
(+0.50)
Under 2.5
88.52%
▼
(-0.50)
Over 3.5
3.22%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
96.78%
▼
(-0.27)
Score analysis
Porto
48.08%
Draw
24.38%
Sporting Lisbon
27.51%
Porto
2-1
@
9.92%
▼
(-0.25)
1-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 48.08%
1-0 @ 9.83% ▼ (-0.28)
2-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 4.95% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.51% ▼ (-0.17)
3-2 @ 3.02% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 7.85% ▼ (-0.24)
Total : 48.08%
Draw
1-1
@
11.4%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.38%
2-2 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.38%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2
@
7.1%
▲
(+0.22)
0-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.19)
1-3 @ 2.8% ▼ (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.27)
Total : 27.51%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
21
-
Rodrigo Mora Carvalho
19'
-
Martin Anselmi
62'
-
Danny Loader
90'+4'
-
Fabio Vieira
90'+10'
-
Samu Omorodion
90'+10'
-
Ivan Fresneda
42'
-
Maximiliano Araujo
71'
-
Rui Silva
72'
-
Morten Hjulmand
90'+6'
-
Matheus Reis
90'+6'
-
Matheus Reis
90'+7'
-
Ousmane Diomande
90'+8'
Taca da Liga
-
Viktor Gyokeres
57'
-
Hidemasa Morita
63'
-
Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes
73'
-
Morten Hjulmand
77'
-
Fabio Vieira
66'
-
Stephen Eustaquio
72'
-
Nico Gonzalez
90'+3'
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
4
-
Geny Catamo
28'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
72'
-
Geny Catamo
90'+3'
-
Alan Varela
30'
-
Nico Gonzalez
54'
-
Otavio
69'
-
Danny Loader
70'
-
Stephen Eustaquio
90'+2'
Portuguese Super Cup
-
Goncalo Inacio
6'
-
Pedro Goncalves
9'
-
Geovany Tcherno Quenda
24'
-
Eduardo Quaresma
72'
-
Ruben Amorim
90'+4'
-
Ousmane Diomande
97'
-
Galeno
28'
-
Nico Gonzalez
45'+2'
-
Nico Gonzalez
64'
-
Galeno
66'
-
Alan Varela
67'
-
Ivan Jaime
101'
Taca de Portugal
-
Evanilson
25'
-
Joao Mario
37'
-
Alan Varela
66'
-
Ze Pedro
90'+1'
-
Francisco Conceicao
97'
-
Sergio Conceicao
98'
-
Mehdi Taremi
100'
-
Francisco Conceicao
103'
-
Evanilson
104'
-
Morten Hjulmand
106'
-
Jeremiah St Juste
20'
-
Jeremiah St Juste
29'
-
Nuno Santos
30'
-
Viktor Gyokeres
39'
-
Daniel Braganca
78'
-
Luis Neto
81'
-
Paulinho
109'
-
Otavio
110'