Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Deniz Gul 46' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 46' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 63' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' goal
  • Francisco Moura 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Luís Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 84'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Faye 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 84'
  • goal Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • goal Luis Suárez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 90'+10'

Porto vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 8.45pm
Casa Pia 2 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 6.00pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Nacional
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (6.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Porto 48.12% (+0.04)
Draw 24.82% (+0.45)
Sporting Lisbon 27.06% (-0.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.53% (-0.45)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.54% (-0.38)
Under 1.5 22.46% (+0.39)
Over 2.5 54.09% (-0.60)
Under 2.5 45.91% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 31.1% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 68.9% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 17.49% (-0.22)
Under 4.5 82.51% (+0.22)

First Half Winner

Porto 35.29% (+0.32)
Draw 38.73% (+0.13)
Sporting Lisbon 25.98% (-0.45)

Team To Score First

Porto 54.27% (-0.95)
No Goal 5.9% (+0.16)
Sporting Lisbon 39.83% (+0.80)

Corners

Over 8 51.62% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.53% (+0.07)
Under 8 36.85% (-0.11)
Over 9 40.42% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.2% (+0.07)
Under 9 48.38% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 30.39% (-0.09)
Under 10.5 69.61% (+0.10)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 47.79% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 52.21% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 21.71% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.29% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.93% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 92.07% (+0.05)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 63.81% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 36.19% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 30.9% (-0.40)
Under 1.5 69.1% (+0.40)
Over 2.5 11.1% (-0.39)
Under 2.5 88.9% (+0.39)
Over 3.5 3.13% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 96.87% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Porto 48.13%
Draw 24.81%
Sporting Lisbon 27.05%
Porto
1-0 @ 9.97% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 8.08% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.97% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.08% (+0.07)
Other @ 7.75% (-0.10)
Total : 48.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.92% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 5.9% (+0.16)
3-3 @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.05)
Total : 24.81%
Sporting Lisbon
1-2 @ 6.99% (-0.11)
0-1 @ 6.58% (+0.12)
0-2 @ 3.81% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.08)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.10)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.95% (-0.14)
Total : 27.05%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 30, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 19' yellowcard
  • Martin Anselmi 62' yellowcard
  • Danny Loader 90'+4' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Fresneda 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+6'
  • redcard Matheus Reis 90'+7'
  • redcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+8'
Taca da Liga
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Viktor Gyokeres 57' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 73' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 66'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 28' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 30'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 70'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'
Portuguese Super Cup
Aug 3, 2024 8.15pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
ET Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
  • Goncalo Inacio 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 9' goal
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 24' goal
  • Eduardo Quaresma 72' yellowcard
  • Ruben Amorim 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Diomande 97' yellowcard
  • goal Galeno 28'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 45'+2'
  • goal Nico Gonzalez 64'
  • goal Galeno 66'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 67'
  • goal Ivan Jaime 101'
Taca de Portugal
May 26, 2024 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Do Dragao
  • Evanilson 25' goal
  • Joao Mario 37' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 66' yellowcard
  • Ze Pedro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Francisco Conceicao 97' yellowcard
  • Sergio Conceicao 98' redcard
  • Mehdi Taremi 100' goal
  • Francisco Conceicao 103' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 104' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 106' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremiah St Juste 20'
  • redcard Jeremiah St Juste 29'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 30'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyokeres 39'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 78'
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 81'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 109'
  • yellowcard Otavio 110'