Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.86% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 11.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.16%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.57%) , while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.