Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 20.37% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.96%) and 1-2 (10.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.