Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 23.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.