Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Jan 2, 2026 6.45pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Pablo

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 3 - 3 Santa Clara
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 44.85%. A draw has a probability of 28.14% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.07%) and 2-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.63%) , while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (9.78%).

Result

Gil Vicente 44.85% (+0.06)
Draw 28.14% (+0.02)
Nacional 27.01% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.28% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 64.39% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 35.61% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 38.28% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 61.72% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 18.73% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 81.27% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 9.34% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 90.66% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Gil Vicente 30% (-0.15)
Draw 45.59% (+0.08)
Nacional 24.42% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Gil Vicente 47.34%
No Goal 10.99%
Nacional 41.67%

Corners

Over 8 52.68% (+0.01)
Equal 8 12%
Under 8 35.32%
Over 9 40.92%
Equal 9 11.76% (+0.01)
Under 9 47.32% (-0.01)
Over 10.5 30.36%
Under 10.5 69.64%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 1.5 35.96% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.04% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 86.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.94%
Under 3.5 96.06%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 57.33% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 42.67% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 23.38% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 76.62% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 7.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 92.75% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.83% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 98.17% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Gil Vicente 44.85%
Draw 28.13%
Nacional 27.01%
Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 14.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07%
2-1 @ 8.11% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.85% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.43%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 44.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.63% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.99%
2-2 @ 3.97%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 28.13%
Nacional
0-1 @ 9.78% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.11% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 4.41% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.81% (-0.03)
Total : 27.01%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 9, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 3.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Rui Filipe Teixeira Encarnacao 45'+2' redcard
  • goal Felix Correia 16'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Mutombo Mawesi 25'
  • goal Pablo 62'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Aboubakar Bamba 75'
  • goal Felix Correia 82'
  • yellowcard Pablo 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Santiago Garcia Gonzalez 7' goal
  • Santiago Garcia Gonzalez 89' yellowcard
  • Jorge Aguirre de Cespedes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ruben Fernandes 90'+7' goal
  • Ruben Fernandes 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 41'
  • yellowcard Isaac Aguiar Tomich 41'
  • goal Ulisses 50'
  • yellowcard Luis Esteves 56'
  • yellowcard Lucas Franca 90'+2'
Taca da Liga
Nov 27, 2022 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
  • Vitor Carvalho 4' goal
  • Lucas Cunha 16' goal
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 19, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joao Afonso 44' yellowcard
  • Pedro Marques 55' goal
  • Ygor Nogueira 61' yellowcard
  • Samuel Lino 71' goal
  • Joao Afonso 86' redcard
  • yellowcard Chico Ramos 28'
  • yellowcard Bryan Rochez 37'
  • redcard Julio Cesar 83'
  • yellowcard Brayan Riascos 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Nov 8, 2020 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Vincent Thill 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Joao Camacho 57' goal
  • Bryan Rochez 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Antoine Leautey 49'
  • goal Rodrigo Sam 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Claude Goncalves 68'
  • yellowcard Ygor Nogueira 82'
  • yellowcard Lucas Mineiro 90'+4'