Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 2, 2026 8.45pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 12' goal
  • Joao Pedro Goulart Silva 45' goal
  • Thiago Silva 45' goal
  • Korede Osundina 56' yellowcard
  • Claudio Mendes 82' yellowcard
  • Clau Mendes 82' yellowcard
  • goal Pablo Rosario 46'
  • yellowcard Alberto Oliveira Baio 46'
  • yellowcard Alberto Costa 46'
  • yellowcard William Gomes Carvalho Santos 57'
  • yellowcard Victor Froholdt 57'
  • yellowcard William Gomes 57'
  • yellowcard Oskar Pietuszewski 70'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gul 71'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 71'

Casa Pia vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 23, 2026 8.15pm
Casa Pia 3 - 3 AVS
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Jan 26, 2026 8.15pm
Porto 3 - 0 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.09% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 10.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.83%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.11%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Casa Pia 10.26% (-0.10)
Draw 20.09% (-0.06)
Porto 69.62% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.76% (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.26% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 27.74% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.49% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 53.51% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 25.3% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 74.7% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 16.25% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.75% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 12.47% (-0.09)
Draw 36.2% (+0.16)
Porto 51.32% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 20.29% (-0.08)
No Goal 8.01% (-0.01)
Porto 71.7% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 50.06% (+0.10)
Equal 8 11.88% (+0.04)
Under 8 38.06% (-0.12)
Over 9 38.67% (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.39% (+0.04)
Under 9 49.94% (-0.10)
Over 10.5 28.61% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 71.39% (-0.04)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 10.45% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 89.55% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 1.39% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 98.61% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.21% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.79% (+0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 85.17% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 14.83% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 58.24% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 41.76% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 30.48%
Under 2.5 69.52%
Over 3.5 13.33% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 86.67% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 10.26%
Draw 20.1%
Porto 69.62%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 4.88% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 2.49% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.67% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.2% (-0.01)
Total : 10.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.11% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.01% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 2.81%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.1%
Porto
0-2 @ 14.97% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 14.83% (+0.07)
1-2 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 9.15% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 5.75% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 13.32% (-0.02)
Total : 69.62%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 24, 2025 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Pablo Roberto 26' yellowcard
  • Jose Fonte 52' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 5'
  • yellowcard Ze Pedro 67'
  • yellowcard Martim Fernandes 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Dec 2, 2024 8.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Fabio Vieira 51' goal
  • Samu Omorodion 55' goal
  • Goncalo Borges 87' yellowcard
  • Vasco Jose Cardoso Sousa 88' yellowcard
  • Otavio 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Otavio 90'+8' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Nuno Moreira 37' goal
  • Neto 58' yellowcard
  • Nermin Zolotic 66' yellowcard
  • Gaizka Larrazabal 78' yellowcard
  • goal Galeno 31'
  • goal Nico Gonzalez 56'
  • yellowcard Wendell 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 9, 2023 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Evanilson 12' goal
  • Evanilson 36' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 39' yellowcard
  • Ze Pedro 49' goal
  • Pepe 81' goal
  • Jorge Sanchez 88' yellowcard
  • goal Fernando 89'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Mehdi Taremi 56' goal
  • Danny Loader 90'+3' goal
  • goal Evanilson 45'+5' (OG)