Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.25% and a win for Rangers had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%) , while for a Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.