Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.14%. A draw has a probability of 17.08% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 7.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.94%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (7.25%) , while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (3.4%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 75.14% (-0.02)
Draw 17.08%
Nacional 7.77%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.43% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.57% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 51.26% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 48.74% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.08%
Under 3.5 69.92%
Over 4.5 21.21% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 78.79% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 53.23% (+0.02)
Draw 35.42% (-0.01)
Nacional 11.35% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 70.27% (-0.07)
No Goal 7.25%
Nacional 22.48% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 59.17% (+0.11)
Equal 8 10.46% (-0.02)
Under 8 30.37% (-0.09)
Over 9 48.38% (+0.11)
Equal 9 10.78% (-0.03)
Under 9 40.83% (-0.11)
Over 10.5 38.11% (+0.12)
Under 10.5 61.89% (-0.12)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 63.44% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 36.56% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 36.72% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 63.28% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 17.75% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 82.25% (+0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 34.67% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 65.33% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 9.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 90.54% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 1.59%
Under 2.5 98.41%
Over 3.5 0.36%
Under 3.5 99.64%

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 75.15%
Draw 17.09%
Nacional 7.78%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 15.01% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 14.94% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 10.41% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.98% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
Other @ 17.74% (-0.04)
Total : 75.15%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.25%
1-1 @ 7.14% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.09%
Nacional
0-1 @ 3.4% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2%
0-2 @ 1%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 7.78%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2025 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Francisco Trincao 45'+1' goal
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 90' goal
  • Zeno Debast 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiheb Abidi 18'
Taca da Liga
Oct 29, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Morten Hjulmand 53' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 65' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Franca 45'+2'
  • goal Ruben Macedo 66'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 17, 2024 6.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Nigel Thomas 36' goal
  • Ulisses 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 16'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 41'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 51'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 57'
  • goal Daniel Braganca 66'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 76'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Paulinho 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 53' yellowcard
  • Zouhair Feddal 83' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 22'
  • yellowcard Eber Bessa 57'
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 65'
  • redcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 66'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Jan 8, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ruben Micael 11' yellowcard
  • V. Simoes da Vinha 42' yellowcard
  • Nuno Borges 61' yellowcard
  • Ruben Freitas 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 27'
  • goal Nuno Santos 43'
  • yellowcard R. Amorim 57'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 90'