Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 1, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Nacional
  • Francisco Trincao 64' yellowcard
  • Souleymane Faye 64' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincão 64' yellowcard
  • Pedro Goncalves 72' goal
  • Pedro Gonçalves 72' goal
  • 80' yellowcard
  • Alisson de Almeida Santos 80' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Kochorashvili 80' yellowcard
  • Alisson Santos 80' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez Charris 90'+6' goal
  • Luis Suárez 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Witi 65'
  • yellowcard Witiness Quembo 65'
  • goal Alan Herminio Nunez Duarte 76'
  • goal Alan Nuñez 76'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Abidi 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Junior 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Jr 80'
  • yellowcard Chiheb Labidi 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Junior 81'
  • yellowcard Andre Sousa 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas Joao 90'+2'
  • yellowcard André Sousa 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Lucas João 90'+2'

Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 4 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 74.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.31% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 8.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.78%) and 3-0 (10.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%) , while for a Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 74.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 17.31%
Nacional 8.01%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.57%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.39%
Under 1.5 25.61%
Over 2.5 51.26%
Under 2.5 48.74%
Over 3.5 30.08%
Under 3.5 69.92%
Over 4.5 21.11%
Under 4.5 78.89%

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 53.23%
Draw 35.42%
Nacional 11.35%

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 70.26% ▼ (-0.01)
No Goal 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Nacional 22.48%

Corners

Over 8 59.17%
Equal 8 10.46%
Under 8 30.37%
Over 9 48.38%
Equal 9 10.78%
Under 9 40.83%
Over 10.5 38.11%
Under 10.5 61.89%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 63.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 36.87% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 36.49% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 63.51% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 17.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 82.38% ▼ (-0.02)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 35.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 64.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 9.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 90.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 98.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 74.7%
Draw 17.32%
Nacional 8%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 14.85% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 14.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02%
3-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 17.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 74.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.31%
0-0 @ 7.26% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.32%
Nacional
0-1 @ 3.52%
1-2 @ 2.05%
0-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 8%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nacional
Aug 23, 2025 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 25, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Nacional
  • Francisco Trincao 45'+1' goal
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 90' goal
  • Zeno Debast 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chiheb Abidi 18'
Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Oct 29, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Nacional
  • Morten Hjulmand 53' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 65' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 70' goal
  • yellowcard Lucas Franca 45'+2'
  • goal Ruben Macedo 66'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Nacional
Aug 17, 2024 6.00pm
1
6
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio da Madeira
Sporting Lisbon
  • Nigel Thomas 36' goal
  • Ulisses 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 16'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 41'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 51'
  • goal Francisco Trincao 57'
  • goal Daniel Braganca 66'
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 76'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Nacional
  • Paulinho 31' yellowcard
  • Daniel Braganca 53' yellowcard
  • Zouhair Feddal 83' goal
  • Jovane Cabral 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 22'
  • yellowcard Eber Bessa 57'
  • yellowcard Julio Cesar 65'
  • redcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 66'
  • yellowcard Rui Correia 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Nacional
Jan 8, 2021 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Ruben Micael 11' yellowcard
  • V. Simoes da Vinha 42' yellowcard
  • Nuno Borges 61' yellowcard
  • Ruben Freitas 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 27'
  • goal Nuno Santos 43'
  • yellowcard R. Amorim 57'
  • goal Jovane Cabral 90'

Form Data

Athletic Bilbao 2 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 PSG
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Casa Pia
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Guimaraes
Gil Vicente 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Nacional 4 - 0 Rio Ave
Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Nacional
Nacional 3 - 3 Santa Clara
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Nacional
AVS 2 - 2 Nacional
Nacional 3 - 1 Tondela