Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.14%. A draw has a probability of 17.08% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 7.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 2-0 with a probability of 15.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (14.94%) and 3-0 (10.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (7.25%) , while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (3.4%).