Primeira Liga
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio da Madeira
  • Gabriel Veron 34' goal
  • Jesús Ramírez 46' goal
  • Chiheb Labidi 61' yellowcard
  • Léo Santos 72' goal
  • Witiness Quembo 77' yellowcard
  • Daniel Jr 77' yellowcard
  • André Sousa 88' yellowcard
  • Lucas João 88' yellowcard
  • Witiness Quembo 90' goal
  • yellowcard Georgios Liavas 46'
  • yellowcard Ole Pohlmann 46'
  • yellowcard Diogo Bezerra 67'
  • yellowcard Antonis Papakanellos 67'
  • yellowcard Omar Richards 77'

Nacional vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.30pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Nacional
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Andre Luiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.64%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 32.93% and a draw has a probability of 27.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (8.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.22%).

Result

Nacional 32.93% (-0.08)
Draw 27.47% (-0.13)
Rio Ave 39.64% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.5% (+0.80)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.93% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 25.07% (-0.67)
Over 2.5 51.5% (+0.90)
Under 2.5 48.5% (-0.90)
Over 3.5 29% (+1.41)
Under 3.5 71% (-1.41)
Over 4.5 15.86% (+1.01)
Under 4.5 84.14% (-1.02)

First Half Winner

Nacional 30.78% (-0.09)
Draw 44.4% (-0.32)
Rio Ave 24.81% (+0.39)

Team To Score First

Nacional 43.54% (+0.55)
No Goal 7.33% (-0.25)
Rio Ave 49.13% (-0.31)

Corners

Over 8 67.9% (-0.25)
Equal 8 10.15% (+0.06)
Under 8 21.94% (+0.21)
Over 9 56.68% (-0.28)
Equal 9 11.22% (+0.03)
Under 9 32.1% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 45.32% (-0.29)
Under 10.5 54.68% (+0.29)

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 35.4% (+0.63)
Under 1.5 64.6% (-0.64)
Over 2.5 14.04% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 85.96% (-0.45)
Over 3.5 4.81% (+0.27)
Under 3.5 95.19% (-0.27)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 72.9% (+0.55)
Under 0.5 27.1% (-0.54)
Over 1.5 40.13% (+0.89)
Under 1.5 59.87% (-0.89)
Over 2.5 16.23% (+0.75)
Under 2.5 83.77% (-0.75)
Over 3.5 5.06% (+0.36)
Under 3.5 94.94% (-0.36)

Score analysis

Nacional 32.94%
Draw 27.47%
Rio Ave 39.65%
Nacional
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.19)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.12)
2-0 @ 4.77% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.15% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 2.27% (+0.17)
Other @ 4.53% (+0.21)
Total : 32.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.18)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.27% (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.09)
Other @ 0.28% (+0.07)
Total : 27.47%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.13)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.17)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 2.63% (+0.20)
Other @ 4.78% (+0.30)
Total : 39.65%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 17, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Andre Sousa 46' goal
  • Lucas Franca 72' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos 90' goal
  • Konstantinos Kostoulas 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 3'
  • yellowcard Ege Tiknaz 18'
  • goal Theofanis Bakoulas 28'
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 43'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Kostoulas 57'
  • yellowcard Clayton 86'
  • yellowcard Ole Pohlmann 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Clayton 26' goal
  • Clayton 73' goal
  • goal Bruno Costa 34'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 80'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 10.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luiz Eduardo Teodora da Silva 11' goal
  • Larry Azouni 16' yellowcard
  • goal Aderlan 51'
  • yellowcard Filipe Augusto 84'
  • goal Carlos Mane 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Feb 5, 2021 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tarantini 35' yellowcard
  • Fabio Coentrao 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 50'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Piscitelli 90'+3'