Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.30pm
Gil Vicente 0 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 8.30pm
Rio Ave 0 - 2 Benfica
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Clayton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 33.45% and a draw has a probability of 26.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Nacional win is 1-0 (9.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.91%).

Result

Nacional 33.45%
Draw 26.88%
Rio Ave 39.67%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.11%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.91%
Under 1.5 27.09%
Over 2.5 49.58%
Under 2.5 50.42%
Over 3.5 27.86%
Under 3.5 72.14%
Over 4.5 14.95%
Under 4.5 85.05%

First Half Winner

Nacional 31.2%
Draw 44.7%
Rio Ave 24.1%

Team To Score First

Nacional 42.95%
No Goal 7.54%
Rio Ave 49.51%

Corners

Over 8 68.67%
Equal 8 10.04%
Under 8 21.29%
Over 9 57.48%
Equal 9 11.19%
Under 9 31.33%
Over 10.5 46.09%
Under 10.5 53.91%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 33.85%
Under 1.5 66.15%
Over 2.5 13%
Under 2.5 87%
Over 3.5 4.25%
Under 3.5 95.75%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 71.67%
Under 0.5 28.33%
Over 1.5 39.33%
Under 1.5 60.67%
Over 2.5 15.73%
Under 2.5 84.27%
Over 3.5 4.9%
Under 3.5 95.1%

Score analysis

Nacional 33.45%
Draw 26.88%
Rio Ave 39.66%
Nacional
1-0 @ 9.58%
2-1 @ 7.39%
2-0 @ 4.85%
3-1 @ 3.08%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 33.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.54%
2-2 @ 6.06%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.88%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 9.96%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 3.77%
0-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.55%
Other @ 4.74%
Total : 39.66%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 17, 2025 3.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 3.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Andre Sousa 46' goal
  • Lucas Franca 72' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos 90' goal
  • Konstantinos Kostoulas 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 3'
  • yellowcard Ege Tiknaz 18'
  • goal Theofanis Bakoulas 28'
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 43'
  • yellowcard Konstantinos Kostoulas 57'
  • yellowcard Clayton 86'
  • yellowcard Ole Pohlmann 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Clayton 26' goal
  • Clayton 73' goal
  • goal Bruno Costa 34'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 80'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 31, 2024 10.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 19, 2021 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Luiz Eduardo Teodora da Silva 11' goal
  • Larry Azouni 16' yellowcard
  • goal Aderlan 51'
  • yellowcard Filipe Augusto 84'
  • goal Carlos Mane 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Feb 5, 2021 5.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tarantini 35' yellowcard
  • Fabio Coentrao 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 50'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Piscitelli 90'+3'