Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for AVS had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%) , while for a AVS win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.