Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 27, 2026 8.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Luis Suárez 6' goal
  • Luis Suárez 16' goal
  • Souleymane Faye 72' yellowcard
  • João Simões 72' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bragança 83' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 83' yellowcard
  • Georgios Vagiannidis 83' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bragança 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Antef Tsoungui 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Carvalho 46'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 80'
  • yellowcard Khayon Edwards 80'
  • yellowcard Khayon Edwards 81'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 81'

Sporting Lisbon vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 6.00pm
Estoril 3 - 1 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.29% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 7.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 75.87%
Draw 16.29%
Estoril Praia 7.83%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.8% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.89% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.11% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 56.79% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.21% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 36.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 63.88% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 26.25% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 73.75% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 53.69% (-0.04)
Draw 32.14% (+0.03)
Estoril Praia 14.17% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 71.53% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.29%
Estoril Praia 22.18% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.63% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.61%
Under 8 25.76% (-0.03)
Over 9 52.32% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.32%
Under 9 36.37% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 41.23% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 58.77% (-0.03)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 67.16% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 32.84% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 41.55% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 58.45% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.3% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.7% (-0.01)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 35.49% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 64.51% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 10.68% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 89.32% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 1.91% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 98.09% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 0.45% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.55% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 75.88%
Draw 16.29%
Estoril Praia 7.82%
Sporting Lisbon
2-0 @ 13.4%
1-0 @ 12.69%
3-0 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.67% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 6.43% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 22.27%
Total : 75.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.59% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.29%
2-2 @ 2.98% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 16.29%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.42% (+0.02)
Total : 7.82%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 27, 2025 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2025 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Goncalo Inacio 5' goal
  • Eduardo Manuel Freitas Monteiro Ferreira Felicissimo 33' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 36' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Xeka 50'
  • goal Goncalo Costa 84'
  • redcard Joao Carvalho 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Fabricio Garcia 50' yellowcard
  • Pedro Alvaro 84' yellowcard
  • goal Geny Catamo 24'
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 31'
  • goal Daniel Braganca 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
  • Fabricio Garcia 76' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Zanocelo 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Coates 80'
  • goal Paulinho 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2024 6.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Marcus Edwards 21' goal
  • Marcus Edwards 45'+2' goal
  • Pedro Alvaro 51' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 69' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 78' goal
  • Antonio Adan 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pedro Alvaro 39'
  • goal Cassiano 82'
  • yellowcard Heriberto Tavares 83'
  • yellowcard Eliaquim Mangala 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 27, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
  • Hector Bellerin 40' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 51' goal