Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.29% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 7.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.69%) and 3-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.59%) , while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.