Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril Praia vs Tondela - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.30pm
Santa Clara 2 - 4 Estoril
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Feb 1, 2026 8.30pm
Tondela 0 - 0 Benfica
Goals scored
12
Top scorer
Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 48.19%. A draw has a probability of 26.22% and a win for Tondela has a probability of 25.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.86%) , while for a Tondela win it is 0-1 (6.79%).

Result

Estoril Praia 48.19%
Draw 26.22%
Tondela 25.59%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.04% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.6% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.4% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.82% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 48.18% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 29.79% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 70.21% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16.8% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.2% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Estoril Praia 32.47% (-0.13)
Draw 43.42% (+0.06)
Tondela 24.11% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Estoril Praia 50.12% (-0.11)
No Goal 7.22% (-0.03)
Tondela 42.66% (+0.12)

Corners

Over 8 50.31% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.16% (+0.01)
Under 8 37.53% (-0.02)
Over 9 38.63% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 49.69% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 28.32%
Under 10.5 71.68%

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 1.5 46.97% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 53.03% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 21.59% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.41% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.22%
Under 3.5 91.78%

Tondela Goals

Over 0.5 61.54% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 38.46% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 28.7% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 71.3% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.16% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 89.84% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 97.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 48.18%
Draw 26.21%
Tondela 25.59%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.37%
2-1 @ 9.32%
2-0 @ 8.41% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 4.51% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.93%
Total : 48.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86%
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 26.21%
Tondela
0-1 @ 6.79% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 3.52% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.56% (+0.02)
Total : 25.59%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 31, 2025 3.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Taca da Liga
Nov 19, 2022 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2022 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Chico Geraldes 38' yellowcard
  • Romario Baro 70' yellowcard
  • Arthur 86' goal
  • yellowcard Ricardo Alves 39'
  • yellowcard Javier Aviles 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Daniel dos Anjos 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 13, 2021 9.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Juan Boselli 22' yellowcard
  • Juan Boselli 50' goal
  • Renat Dadasov 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carles Soria 8'
  • goal Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 20'
  • yellowcard Chico Geraldes 36'
  • goal Leonardo Acevedo 44'
  • yellowcard Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 74'
  • yellowcard Joao Gamboa 78'
  • yellowcard Loreintz Rosier 78'
  • yellowcard Dani Figueira 81'
  • yellowcard David Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno 90'+1'
Primeira Liga
Jan 30, 2018 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril)
  • Pedro Rodrigues 6' goal
  • Lucas Evangelista 45' goal
  • Allano 72' goal
Primeira Liga
Aug 19, 2017 4.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Joaquim Goncalves 47' yellowcard
  • Tomane 50' goal
  • Eli 62' goal
  • Helder Tavares 69' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Costa 90' yellowcard
  • goal David Bruno 13' (OG)
  • goal Allano 27'
  • goal Allano 48'
  • yellowcard Joel 55'
  • yellowcard Allano 71'