Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 48.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.22% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%) , while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.