Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.49% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 12.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.33%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%) , while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.