Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2026 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio João Cardoso
  • Tiago Miguel Silva Manso 64' yellowcard
  • Tiago Manso 64' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos 66' yellowcard
  • Maranhão 66' yellowcard
  • Joao Afonso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Joao Afonso 90'+3' yellowcard
  • João Afonso 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sidny Lopes Cabral 63'
  • yellowcard Rafa Silva 63'
  • yellowcard Sidny Cabral 63'
  • yellowcard Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 82'
  • yellowcard Bruma 82'
  • yellowcard Anísio 82'
  • yellowcard Bruma 83'
  • yellowcard Anisio Claudio Fernandes Reis Cabral 83'

Tondela vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Tondela

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 6.00pm
Famalicao 3 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
15
Top scorer
Maranhão

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 6.00pm
Benfica 4 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Vangelis Pavlidis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.49% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 12.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.33%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%) , while for a Tondela win it was 1-0 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Tondela 12.77%
Draw 20.49% (-0.08)
Benfica 66.74% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.01% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.54% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 26.46% (-0.17)
Over 2.5 48.66% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 51.34% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 27.59% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 72.41% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 17.07% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 82.93% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Tondela 13.73% (+0.08)
Draw 38.04% (+0.04)
Benfica 48.23% (-0.11)

Team To Score First

Tondela 24.4% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.15% (-0.06)
Benfica 68.45% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 42.63% (+0.15)
Equal 8 11.26%
Under 8 46.11% (-0.15)
Over 9 32.42% (+0.14)
Equal 9 10.21% (+0.02)
Under 9 57.37% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 23.84% (+0.11)
Under 10.5 76.16% (-0.11)

Tondela Goals

Over 1.5 14.19% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 85.81% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 2.79% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 97.21% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.59% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.41% (-0.02)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 85.01% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 14.99% (-0.10)
Over 1.5 57.15% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 42.85% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 29.91% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 70.09% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 12.63% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 87.37% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Tondela 12.78%
Draw 20.5%
Benfica 66.75%
Tondela
1-0 @ 5.14% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 3.22% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.58% (+0.02)
Total : 12.78%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.52% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 7.15% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 3.45% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.5%
Benfica
0-1 @ 14.2% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 13.33% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 9.69% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 8.02%
1-3 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.72% (+0.02)
Other @ 12.62% (+0.06)
Total : 66.75%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Oct 29, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2025 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2022 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Neto Borges 38' yellowcard
  • Neto Borges 65' redcard
  • Eduardo Quaresma 88' goal
  • goal Everton 23'
  • goal Darwin Nunez 34'
  • yellowcard Everton 45'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 53'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2021 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Pizzi 9' yellowcard
  • Everton 50' yellowcard
  • Rafa Silva 71' goal
  • Gilberto 88' goal
  • yellowcard Naoufel Khacef 19'
  • goal Salvador Agra 22'
  • yellowcard Babacar Niasse 35'
  • yellowcard Iker Undabarrena 58'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2021 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Pizzi 12'
  • goal Everton 19'
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 69'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Jan 8, 2021 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Haris Seferovic 56' goal
  • Everton 69' yellowcard
  • Pizzi 73' yellowcard
  • Gian-Luca Waldschmidt 90'+4' goal