Primeira Liga
Estoril
Jan 24, 2026 8.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Guimaraes
  • Yanis Begraoui 29' goal
  • Pizzi 46' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 56' goal
  • Alejandro Marqués 56' goal
  • Alejandro Marques 65' goal
  • Alejandro Marqués 65' goal
  • Goncalo Costa 73' yellowcard
  • Antef Tsoungui 73' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Costa 73' yellowcard
  • Goncalo Costa 74' yellowcard
  • Antef Tsoungui 74' yellowcard
  • Yanis Begraoui 78' goal
  • Xeka 78' yellowcard
  • Ferro 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Ferro 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Samu 27'
  • goal Matija Mitrovic 34'
  • yellowcard Gustavo 58'
  • yellowcard Diogo Lobão Sousa 58'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Silva 58'
  • yellowcard Diogo Sousa 58'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco Gomez 72'
  • yellowcard Orest Lebedenko 72'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco 72'
  • yellowcard Orest Lebedenko 73'
  • yellowcard Ejike Julius Opara 82'
  • yellowcard Ejike Opara 82'

Estoril Praia vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 19, 2026 8.15pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 5 Estoril
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Yanis Begraoui

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 8.30pm
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%).

Result

Estoril Praia 32.7% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 25.98% ▼ (-0.08)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 41.33% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.56% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 52.39% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 47.61% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 30.96% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 69.04% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 17.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 82.6% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Estoril Praia 23.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 43.91% ▲ (+0.11)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 32.77% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Estoril Praia 38.79% ▼ (-0.06)
No Goal 6.55% ▼ (-0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 54.66% ▲ (+0.07)

Corners

Over 8 52.37% ▼ (-0.50)
Equal 8 11.94% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 8 35.69% ▲ (+0.54)
Over 9 40.7% ▼ (-0.43)
Equal 9 11.67% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 47.63% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 10.5 30.24% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 10.5 69.76% ▲ (+0.33)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 1.5 35.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 64.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 13.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.25% ▼ (-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 73.72% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 26.28% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 42.06% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 57.94% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 18.23% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 81.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 6.13% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 93.87% ▼ (-0.04)

Score analysis

Estoril Praia 32.7%
Draw 25.97%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 41.31%
Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.31% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 32.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.55% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.81% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 25.97%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.35%
2-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 41.31%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Aug 16, 2025 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Estoril
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Estoril
Jan 26, 2025 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Guimaraes
  • Pedro Alvaro 19' yellowcard
  • Xeka 29' yellowcard
  • Jordan Holsgrove 31' yellowcard
  • Yanis Begraoui 40' goal
  • Joao Carvalho 47' goal
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 26'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 84'
  • yellowcard Bruno Varela 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 2
Guimaraes
Aug 18, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Estoril
  • Mikel Villanueva 10' yellowcard
  • Toni Borevkovic 26' yellowcard
  • Jesus Andres Ramirez 32' goal
  • yellowcard Yanis Begraoui 56'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Estoril
Mar 2, 2024 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota
Guimaraes
  • Joao Marques 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Marques 69' goal
  • goal Joao Mendes 8'
  • goal Jota Silva 22'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 28'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 42'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 55'
  • yellowcard Charles 87'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Guimaraes
Oct 1, 2023 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Estoril
  • Joao Mendes 28' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 54' yellowcard
  • Andre Silva 56' goal
  • Joao Mendes 69' goal
  • Tiago Silva 70' yellowcard
  • Safira 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Volnei Feltes 11'
  • goal Tiago Araujo 12'
  • goal Rodrigo Gomes 20'
  • redcard Jordan Holsgrove 40'
  • yellowcard Mateus Fernandes 53'
  • yellowcard Joao Carlos 87'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Vital 90'+9'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 19
Estoril
Feb 4, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Guimaraes
  • goal Safira 11'

Form Data

Estrela Amadora 0 - 5 Estoril
Benfica 3 - 1 Estoril
Estoril 4 - 1 Alverca
Estoril 1 - 0 Braga
Famalicao 4 - 0 Estoril
Estoril 3 - 3 Moreirense
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Porto
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Braga
Sporting Lisbon 0 - 0 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Nacional
Casa Pia 0 - 0 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 1 - 4 Sporting Lisbon