Primeira Liga
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Landerson 64' yellowcard
  • Landerson 64' yellowcard
  • Nile John 64' yellowcard
  • Luís Semedo 70' yellowcard
  • Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida 80' yellowcard
  • Leandro Santos 80' yellowcard
  • goal Francisco Trincão 52'
  • goal Geny Catamo 56'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 64'
  • goal Luis Suárez 75'
  • yellowcard Fotis Ioannidis 78'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Faye 78'
  • yellowcard Georgios Vagiannidis 78'
  • yellowcard João Simões 82'

Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 8.15pm
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Moreirense
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.14% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (10.44%) and 0-2 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%) , while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Moreirense 15.36% (-0.03)
Draw 21.14% (-0.04)
Sporting Lisbon 63.51% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.45% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.18% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 22.82% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 55.3% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 44.7% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 32.41% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.59% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.41% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 79.59% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 15.19% (-0.01)
Draw 38.6% (-0.06)
Sporting Lisbon 46.22% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Moreirense 24.46% (-0.10)
No Goal 6.19% (-0.01)
Sporting Lisbon 69.35% (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 53.46% (+0.08)
Equal 8 11.47% (+0.09)
Under 8 35.07% (-0.16)
Over 9 42.17% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.29% (+0.09)
Under 9 46.54% (-0.08)
Over 10.5 31.92% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 68.08% (+0.11)

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 19.09% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 80.91% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 5.17% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 94.83% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 1.16% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 98.84% (-0.04)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 85.09% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 14.91% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 58.45% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 41.55% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 32.12% (-0.18)
Under 2.5 67.88% (+0.18)
Over 3.5 14.34%
Under 3.5 85.66%

Score analysis

Moreirense 15.36%
Draw 21.13%
Sporting Lisbon 63.51%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 4.93% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 4.28% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 2.11% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 1.27% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.95% (+0.04)
Total : 15.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.39% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 6.19% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.13%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 11.7% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 10.44% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 10.38% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 7.44% (-0.11)
1-3 @ 6.31% (-0.07)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.02)
Other @ 14.13%
Total : 63.51%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 22, 2025 8.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 18, 2025 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Ousmane Diomande 3' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 12' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 25' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 52' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo Martins 50'
  • goal Cedric Teguia 56'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 66'
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 74'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 5, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Marcelo 9' yellowcard
  • Dinis Pinto 19' goal
  • Guilherme Schettine 35' goal
  • Ruben Ramos 81' yellowcard
  • Kewin 86' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 12'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 18'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 19, 2024 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 3'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 23'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 56'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
  • Goncalo Inacio 4' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 35' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 55' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 61' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 69' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Diomande 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 20'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 49'
  • redcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2022 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Pablo Santos 33' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 46' yellowcard
  • Mateus Pasinato 73' yellowcard
  • Rafael Martins 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 26'
  • goal Islam Slimani 29'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 35'
  • goal Paulinho 39'
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 61'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 87'