Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Moreirense
Feb 21, 2026 6.00pm
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Sporting Lisbon

Moreirense vs Sporting Lisbon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 8.15pm
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Moreirense
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Travassos

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Luis Suarez Charris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw has a probability of 21.18% and a win for Moreirense has a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (10.42%) and 0-2 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.44%) , while for a Moreirense win it is 1-0 (4.96%).

Result

Moreirense 15.38% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 21.18% ▲ (+0.11)
Sporting Lisbon 63.48% ▼ (-0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.46% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.26% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.42%
Under 2.5 44.58%
Over 3.5 32.38% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 67.62% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 20.36% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 79.64% ▲ (+0.11)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 15.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 38.66% ▲ (+0.13)
Sporting Lisbon 46.14% ▼ (-0.19)

Team To Score First

Moreirense 24.56% ▲ (+0.08)
No Goal 6.2% ▲ (+0.04)
Sporting Lisbon 69.24% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 53.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 35.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 9 42.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.2%
Under 9 46.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 10.5 32.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 67.97% ▲ (+0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 19.08% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 80.92% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 5.11% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 94.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.12%
Under 3.5 98.88%

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 85.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 14.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 58.47% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 41.53% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 2.5 32.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 67.7% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 14.34% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 85.66% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Moreirense 15.38%
Draw 21.18%
Sporting Lisbon 63.47%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 1.25%
3-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.44% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 21.18%
Sporting Lisbon
0-1 @ 11.61% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 10.42% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 10.27% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.37%
2-3 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 14.13% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 63.47%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Sep 22, 2025 8.15pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Moreirense
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 18, 2025 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Moreirense
  • Ousmane Diomande 3' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 12' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 25' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 52' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo Martins 50'
  • goal Cedric Teguia 56'
  • yellowcard 66'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 66'
  • yellowcard Dinis Pinto 74'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Moreirense
Dec 5, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Sporting Lisbon
  • Marcelo 9' yellowcard
  • Dinis Pinto 19' goal
  • Guilherme Schettine 35' goal
  • Ruben Ramos 81' yellowcard
  • Kewin 86' yellowcard
  • goal Viktor Gyokeres 12'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Inacio 18'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Moreirense
Feb 19, 2024 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Sporting Lisbon
  • goal Hidemasa Morita 3'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 23'
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 56'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sporting Lisbon
Sep 17, 2023 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira
Moreirense
  • Goncalo Inacio 4' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 35' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 55' goal
  • Viktor Gyokeres 61' goal
  • Morten Hjulmand 69' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Diomande 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 20'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 49'
  • redcard Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Moreirense
Mar 14, 2022 8.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Pablo Santos 33' yellowcard
  • Artur Jorge 46' yellowcard
  • Mateus Pasinato 73' yellowcard
  • Rafael Martins 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 26'
  • goal Islam Slimani 29'
  • yellowcard Marcus Edwards 35'
  • goal Paulinho 39'
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 61'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 87'

Form Data

Rio Ave 1 - 2 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Alverca 2 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Tondela
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Famalicao
Porto 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 AVS
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Nacional
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon