Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Clayton

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Guilherme Schettine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Rio Ave has a probability of 32.64% and a draw has a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Rio Ave win is 1-0 (8.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.79%).

Result

Rio Ave 32.64% (+0.19)
Draw 25.55% (+0.18)
Moreirense 41.81% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.51% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.76% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 27.24% (+0.32)
Over 2.5 48.29% (-0.43)
Under 2.5 51.71% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 26.4% (-0.75)
Under 3.5 73.6% (+0.79)
Over 4.5 14.15% (-0.52)
Under 4.5 85.85% (+0.52)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 21.55% (+0.04)
Draw 43.88% (+0.06)
Moreirense 34.57% (-0.08)

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 36.3% (+0.11)
No Goal 7.7% (+0.15)
Moreirense 56% (-0.25)

Corners

Over 8 52.97% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.94% (-0.03)
Under 8 35.09% (+0.14)
Over 9 41.25% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.72% (-0.02)
Under 9 47.03% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 30.71% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 69.29% (+0.07)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 32.26% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 67.74% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 11.82% (-0.10)
Under 2.5 88.18% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.63% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 96.37% (+0.08)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 72.1% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 27.9% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 39.35% (-0.61)
Under 1.5 60.65% (+0.61)
Over 2.5 16.13% (-0.45)
Under 2.5 83.87% (+0.46)
Over 3.5 5.17% (-0.24)
Under 3.5 94.83% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 32.64%
Draw 25.55%
Moreirense 41.8%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.99% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 7.32% (+0.12)
2-0 @ 5.44% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.21% (+0.13)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.55% (-0.07)
Total : 32.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 7.7% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 25.55%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 10.54% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 8.82% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.15)
0-3 @ 3.54% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.55% (-0.13)
Other @ 5.09% (-0.22)
Total : 41.8%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2025 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Sidnei Tavares 48' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 58' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 81' yellowcard
  • Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 81' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Joao Tome Esteves Baptista 28'
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 72'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Panzo 81'
  • yellowcard Brandon Aguilera 84'
  • yellowcard Karem Zoabi 88'
  • goal Joao Graca 90'
  • yellowcard Nelson Abby 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Tiago Morais 26' goal
  • Clayton 46' goal
  • Martim Neto 67' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Mahgoub 90' yellowcard
  • Marios Vrousai 90'+4' goal
  • Ahmed Mahgoub 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Marios Vrousai 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 38'
  • goal Aderlan 49' (OG)
  • goal Gabrielzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Schettine 80'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 88'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 13, 2024 10.30am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Fabio Ronaldo 15' goal
  • goal Madson 26'
  • goal Andre Castro 45'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Fabiano Silva 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josue Sa 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2023 8.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Goncalo Rodrigues 21' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 26' yellowcard
  • Costinha 33' yellowcard
  • goal Fabiano Silva 8'
  • goal Joao Camacho 18'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 43'
  • goal Joao Camacho 50'
  • yellowcard Alan 53'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 77'
  • goal Madson 82'
  • yellowcard Madson 83'
  • yellowcard Wallisson 85'