Primeira Liga
Rio Ave
Feb 16, 2026 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Moreirense
  • Jalen Blesa 42' goal
  • Antonis Papakanellos 60' yellowcard
  • Ole Pohlmann 60' yellowcard
  • Ryan 84' yellowcard
  • Ryan Guilherme da Silva Pae 85' yellowcard
  • Joao Graca 89' yellowcard
  • João Graça 89' yellowcard
  • Joao Graca 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Rodri 17'
  • goal Rodrigo Alonso Martín 17'
  • goal Mateja Stjepanovic 57'
  • goal Mateja Stjepanović 57'
  • yellowcard Nile John 73'
  • yellowcard Nile John 74'
  • yellowcard Jimi Gower 74'
  • yellowcard Landerson Costa Araujo 82'
  • yellowcard Landerson 82'
  • yellowcard Kevyn Henrique Monteiro de Souza 89'
  • yellowcard Kevyn Monteiro 89'
  • yellowcard Cedric Teguia 90'
  • yellowcard Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi 90'

Rio Ave vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (9.03%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Rio Ave 32.28% ▼ (-0.54)
Draw 25.75% ▲ (+0.18)
Moreirense 41.96% ▲ (+0.35)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.21% ▼ (-0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.21% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 27.79% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 47.71% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 2.5 52.29% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 3.5 25.91% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 74.09% ▲ (+0.39)
Over 4.5 13.83% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 4.5 86.17% ▲ (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 21.58% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 44.1% ▲ (+0.15)
Moreirense 34.32% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 36.15% ▼ (-0.20)
No Goal 7.8% ▲ (+0.05)
Moreirense 56.05% ▲ (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 52.69% ▼ (-0.36)
Equal 8 12% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 35.31% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 9 40.95% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 47.31% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 10.5 30.41% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 10.5 69.59% ▲ (+0.30)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 31.77% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 1.5 68.23% ▲ (+0.55)
Over 2.5 11.53% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 2.5 88.47% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 3.49% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 96.51% ▲ (+0.13)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 72.24% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 0.5 27.76% ▼ (-0.26)
Over 1.5 38.99% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 61.01% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 15.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 84.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.05% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 94.95% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 32.28%
Draw 25.75%
Moreirense 41.96%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 9.03% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 7.3% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.31% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▼ (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.42% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 32.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.97% ▲ (+0.19)
0-0 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 25.75%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 10.95% ▲ (+0.37)
1-2 @ 8.73% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 41.96%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Moreirense
Sep 13, 2025 3.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Moreirense
Apr 13, 2025 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Rio Ave
  • Sidnei Tavares 48' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 58' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Antonisse 81' yellowcard
  • Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 81' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Joao Tome Esteves Baptista 28'
  • goal Ege Tiknaz 72'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Panzo 81'
  • yellowcard Brandon Aguilera 84'
  • yellowcard Karem Zoabi 88'
  • goal Joao Graca 90'
  • yellowcard Nelson Abby 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Rio Ave
Nov 30, 2024 3.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Moreirense
  • Tiago Morais 26' goal
  • Clayton 46' goal
  • Martim Neto 67' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Mahgoub 90' yellowcard
  • Marios Vrousai 90'+4' goal
  • Ahmed Mahgoub 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Marios Vrousai 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Ramos 38'
  • goal Aderlan 49' (OG)
  • goal Gabrielzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Guilherme Schettine 80'
  • yellowcard Marcelo 88'
Club Friendlies 3
Rio Ave
Jul 13, 2024 10.30am
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Moreirense
  • Fabio Ronaldo 15' goal
  • goal Madson 26'
  • goal Andre Castro 45'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Moreirense
Mar 2, 2024 3.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Rio Ave
  • Fabiano Silva 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josue Sa 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Rio Ave
Oct 1, 2023 8.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Moreirense
  • Goncalo Rodrigues 21' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 26' yellowcard
  • Costinha 33' yellowcard
  • goal Fabiano Silva 8'
  • goal Joao Camacho 18'
  • yellowcard Andre Luis 43'
  • goal Joao Camacho 50'
  • yellowcard Alan 53'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 77'
  • goal Madson 82'
  • yellowcard Madson 83'
  • yellowcard Wallisson 85'

Form Data

Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave
Rio Ave 0 - 3 Arouca
Nacional 4 - 0 Rio Ave
Rio Ave 0 - 2 Benfica
Rio Ave 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Sporting Lisbon 4 - 0 Rio Ave
Moreirense 1 - 2 Gil Vicente
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Alverca 2 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Tondela
AVS 0 - 2 Moreirense