Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Nabil Touaizi 60' yellowcard
  • Sandro Lima 69' goal
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 74' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 74' yellowcard
  • Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 85' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Kauan de Souza Gomes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Alonso Martín 62'
  • yellowcard Mateja Stjepanović 71'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 71'
  • yellowcard Landerson 77'

Alverca vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 8.30pm
Alverca 1 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 37.96%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (9.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result

Alverca 37.96% (+0.04)
Draw 26.66%
Moreirense 35.38% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 27% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 48.26% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 26.77% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.23% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 14.48% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.52% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Alverca 24.63%
Draw 45.9%
Moreirense 29.48%

Team To Score First

Alverca 43.13%
No Goal 7.92% (+0.01)
Moreirense 48.95% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 26.05%
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 63.71%
Over 9 18.07%
Equal 9 7.98%
Under 9 73.95%
Over 10.5 12.26%
Under 10.5 87.74%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 37.15% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.85% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 15.34%
Under 2.5 84.66%
Over 3.5 5.4%
Under 3.5 94.6%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 68.13% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.87% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.43% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.57% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.87% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 87.13% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.73% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.27% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Alverca 37.97%
Draw 26.67%
Moreirense 35.38%
Alverca
1-0 @ 9.47% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.35% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 2.9% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 37.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.31% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.92% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.67%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 3.58% (-0.01)
Total : 35.38%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 10, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT