Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 4, 2026 8.30pm
Alverca 0 - 0 Famalicao
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 11, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Tondela
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Guilherme Schettine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Alverca win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 35.42% and a draw has a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 0-1 (9.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result

Alverca 37.93%
Draw 26.66%
Moreirense 35.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.04%
Under 1.5 26.96%
Over 2.5 48.33%
Under 2.5 51.67%
Over 3.5 26.84%
Under 3.5 73.16%
Over 4.5 14.55%
Under 4.5 85.45%

First Half Winner

Alverca 24.63%
Draw 45.9%
Moreirense 29.48%

Team To Score First

Alverca 43.14%
No Goal 7.9%
Moreirense 48.96%

Corners

Over 8 26.05%
Equal 8 10.24%
Under 8 63.71%
Over 9 18.07%
Equal 9 7.98%
Under 9 73.95%
Over 10.5 12.26%
Under 10.5 87.74%

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 37.16%
Under 1.5 62.84%
Over 2.5 15.37%
Under 2.5 84.63%
Over 3.5 5.43%
Under 3.5 94.57%

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 68.17%
Under 0.5 31.83%
Over 1.5 34.49%
Under 1.5 65.51%
Over 2.5 12.92%
Under 2.5 87.08%
Over 3.5 3.75%
Under 3.5 96.25%

Score analysis

Alverca 37.94%
Draw 26.65%
Moreirense 35.43%
Alverca
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8%
2-0 @ 6.33%
3-1 @ 3.75%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.24%
Other @ 5.28%
Total : 37.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 7.9%
2-2 @ 5.24%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 26.65%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 6.06%
1-3 @ 3.31%
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.22%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 35.43%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 10, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT