Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube

Rio Ave vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Clayton

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Rio Ave has a probability of 36.67% and a draw has a probability of 23.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Rio Ave win is 1-0 (8.49%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).

Result

Rio Ave 36.67% (+0.08)
Draw 23.85% (-0.03)
Arouca 39.48%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.41% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.54% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 23.46% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 52.88% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 47.12% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 30.81% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 69.19% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 17.13% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 82.87% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 26.06%
Draw 39.97%
Arouca 33.97%

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 39.1% (+0.03)
No Goal 6% (-0.05)
Arouca 54.9% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 58.16%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 30.41%
Over 9 46.48%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 41.84%
Over 10.5 35.53%
Under 10.5 64.47%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 37.79% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 62.21% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 15.49% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 84.51% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 5.35% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.65% (-0.07)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 71.61% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 28.39% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 39.53% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 60.47% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.48% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.52% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.23% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.77% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 36.67%
Draw 23.86%
Arouca 39.47%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 7.81%
2-0 @ 5.89% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.34% (+0.08)
Total : 36.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.32% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.86%
Arouca
0-1 @ 8.97% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.59%
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 3.07% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3%
Other @ 5.22% (+0.02)
Total : 39.47%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2025 8.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Jose Fontan 71' goal
  • yellowcard Clayton 57'
  • goal Tiago Morais 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Luis Freire 39' yellowcard
  • Clayton 43' goal
  • Clayton 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chico Faria Camara Lamba 38'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 39'
  • yellowcard Ivo Rodrigues 90'+5'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2024 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Joca 36' goal
  • Miguel Nobrega 45' yellowcard
  • Mateo Tanlongo 70' yellowcard
  • Ze Manuel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 42'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 47'
  • yellowcard Weverson 78'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Morlaye Sylla 1' yellowcard
  • Cristo 50' goal
  • Jason 62' goal
  • goal Aderlan 5'
  • yellowcard Amine Oudrhiri 26'
  • goal Emmanuel Boateng 29'
  • yellowcard Jhonatan Luiz 59'
  • yellowcard Aderlan 69'
  • yellowcard Joao Graca 85'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ronaldo 88'