Primeira Liga
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Diogo Bezerra 60' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Panzo 73' yellowcard
  • Dario Spikic 73' yellowcard
  • Tamás Nikitscher 73' yellowcard
  • Karem Zoabi 80' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 44'
  • goal Iván Barbero 53'
  • goal Hyun-ju Lee 66'
  • yellowcard Boris Popović 68'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 76'
  • yellowcard Pablo Gozálbez 76'
  • yellowcard Diogo Monteiro 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 90'+2'

Rio Ave vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Jan 25, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 4 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Andre Luiz

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 6.00pm
Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (8.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Rio Ave 36.27% (-0.40)
Draw 23.98% (+0.13)
Arouca 39.75% (+0.28)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.28% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.32% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 23.68% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 52.55% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 47.45% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 30.51% (-0.30)
Under 3.5 69.49% (+0.30)
Over 4.5 16.89% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 83.11% (+0.25)

First Half Winner

Rio Ave 26.06%
Draw 39.97%
Arouca 33.97%

Team To Score First

Rio Ave 39.07% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.08% (+0.09)
Arouca 54.85% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 58.16%
Equal 8 11.43%
Under 8 30.41%
Over 9 46.48%
Equal 9 11.68%
Under 9 41.84%
Over 10.5 35.53%
Under 10.5 64.47%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 1.5 37.32% (-0.48)
Under 1.5 62.68% (+0.48)
Over 2.5 15.08% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 84.92% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 5.12% (-0.23)
Under 3.5 94.88% (+0.23)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 71.82% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 28.18% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 39.67% (+0.14)
Under 1.5 60.33% (-0.14)
Over 2.5 16.55% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 83.45% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 5.25% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.75% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rio Ave 36.26%
Draw 23.99%
Arouca 39.76%
Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.54% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.78% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.91% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.6% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.11% (-0.23)
Total : 36.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.08% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.99%
Arouca
0-1 @ 9.07% (+0.09)
1-2 @ 8.63% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.51% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.21% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 3.02% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.24% (+0.03)
Total : 39.76%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2025 8.30pm
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Jose Fontan 71' goal
  • yellowcard Clayton 57'
  • goal Tiago Morais 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Luis Freire 39' yellowcard
  • Clayton 43' goal
  • Clayton 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chico Faria Camara Lamba 38'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 39'
  • yellowcard Ivo Rodrigues 90'+5'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 20, 2024 11.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2024 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Joca 36' goal
  • Miguel Nobrega 45' yellowcard
  • Mateo Tanlongo 70' yellowcard
  • Ze Manuel 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 42'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 47'
  • yellowcard Weverson 78'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 10, 2023 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Morlaye Sylla 1' yellowcard
  • Cristo 50' goal
  • Jason 62' goal
  • goal Aderlan 5'
  • yellowcard Amine Oudrhiri 26'
  • goal Emmanuel Boateng 29'
  • yellowcard Jhonatan Luiz 59'
  • yellowcard Aderlan 69'
  • yellowcard Joao Graca 85'
  • yellowcard Fabio Ronaldo 88'