Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Jan 30, 2026 8.45pm
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 8.30pm
Estoril 4 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Guilherme Schettine

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Moreirense has a probability of 34.1% and a draw has a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Moreirense win is 0-1 (8.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.65%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 40.95%
Draw 24.96%
Moreirense 34.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.79% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.21% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 51.33%
Under 2.5 48.67%
Over 3.5 28.79% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 71.21% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 15.79% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.21% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 28.37%
Draw 47.42%
Moreirense 24.21%

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.38%
No Goal 6.78%
Moreirense 42.84%

Corners

Over 8 49.23%
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 38.66%
Over 9 37.69%
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 50.77%
Over 10.5 27.58%
Under 10.5 72.42%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 40.36% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 59.64% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.54% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.46% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.53% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.47% (+0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 31.75% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 34.58% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.42% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.32%
Under 2.5 86.68%
Over 3.5 3.93% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.07% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 40.95%
Draw 24.96%
Moreirense 34.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.73%
2-1 @ 9.07% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-0 @ 3.04% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.52% (-0.02)
Total : 40.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.78%
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.96%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 5.1%
1-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.39% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.92% (-0.02)
Total : 34.1%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Sidnei Tavares 14' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 31' goal
  • Godfried Frimpong 53' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Martins 77' goal
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 37'
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 51'
  • yellowcard Maga 53'
  • yellowcard Jesus Andres Ramirez 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Nelson Oliveira 65' goal
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 64'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Joao Mendes 20' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 43' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 68' goal
  • Tomas Ribeiro 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan 35'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Alan 41' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 55'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 3, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yan 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Fabio Pacheco 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Estupinan 23'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 36'
  • yellowcard Rochinha 45'+2'
  • goal Rochinha 62'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Bamba 88'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 90'+4'