Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Jan 30, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense
  • Samu 46' yellowcard
  • Alioune Ndoye 63' yellowcard
  • A. Ndoye 63' yellowcard
  • Samu 66' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco Gomez 69' yellowcard
  • Fabio Blanco 69' yellowcard
  • Matija Mitrovic 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kiko Bondoso 58'
  • yellowcard Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso 58'
  • yellowcard Nile John 73'
  • yellowcard Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 80'
  • yellowcard 80'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 80'
  • yellowcard Leandro Santos 80'
  • yellowcard Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa 81'
  • yellowcard Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos 81'

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Moreirense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 8.30pm
Estoril 4 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Moreirense had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Moreirense win was 0-1 (8.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 40.94%
Draw 24.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Moreirense 34.1%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.77%
Under 1.5 25.23%
Over 2.5 51.33% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.79% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.21%
Over 4.5 15.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.21% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 28.48% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 47.19% ▼ (-0.22)
Moreirense 24.34% ▲ (+0.13)

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 50.38%
No Goal 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
Moreirense 42.84% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 38.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 37.67% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 50.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 27.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 10.5 72.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 40.35%
Under 1.5 59.65%
Over 2.5 16.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.47% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Moreirense Goals

Over 0.5 68.23% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 31.77% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 13.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.93% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.07% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 40.94%
Draw 24.97%
Moreirense 34.09%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 9.74%
2-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23%
3-0 @ 3.04%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 40.94%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.97%
Moreirense
0-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.05%
0-2 @ 5.1% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 2.61%
0-3 @ 2.39%
Other @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 34.09%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Moreirense
Aug 23, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Guimaraes
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Moreirense
Mar 30, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Guimaraes
  • Sidnei Tavares 14' yellowcard
  • Guilherme Schettine 31' goal
  • Godfried Frimpong 53' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Martins 77' goal
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 37'
  • goal Telmo Arcanjo 51'
  • yellowcard Maga 53'
  • yellowcard Jesus Andres Ramirez 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Guimaraes
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense
  • Nelson Oliveira 65' goal
  • yellowcard Godfried Frimpong 64'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Guimaraes
Mar 30, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Moreirense
  • Joao Mendes 20' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 43' yellowcard
  • Manu Silva 53' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 68' goal
  • Tomas Ribeiro 70' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alan 35'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Moreirense
Nov 5, 2023 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Guimaraes
  • Alan 41' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 76' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 55'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Moreirense
Apr 3, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Guimaraes
  • Yan 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Fabio Pacheco 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oscar Estupinan 23'
  • yellowcard Alfa Semedo 36'
  • yellowcard Rochinha 45'+2'
  • goal Rochinha 62'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Bamba 88'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 90'+4'

Form Data

Estoril 4 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Porto
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Braga
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Nacional
Casa Pia 0 - 0 Guimaraes
Moreirense 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Alverca 2 - 1 Moreirense
Moreirense 1 - 0 Tondela
AVS 0 - 2 Moreirense
Estrela Amadora 0 - 0 Moreirense
Moreirense 0 - 4 Benfica