Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.73% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 11.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.