Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2026 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Florian Grillitsch 4' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 73' goal
  • Fran Navarro 74' yellowcard
  • Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues 75' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodrigues 75' yellowcard
  • Leonardo Lelo 82' yellowcard
  • Ege Tiknaz 82' yellowcard
  • Demir Ege Tıknaz 82' yellowcard
  • Ege Tiknaz 83' yellowcard
  • Yanis da Rocha 89' yellowcard
  • Yanis da Rocha 90' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Horta 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ole Pohlmann 62'
  • yellowcard Jalen Blesa 70'
  • yellowcard Dario Spikic 70'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Buta 84'
  • yellowcard Andreas Ntoi 84'

Braga vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Feb 2, 2026 6.45pm
AVS 0 - 4 Braga
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Rio Ave 0 - 3 Arouca
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jalen Blesa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.73% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 11.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.22%) and 2-1 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Braga 69.23% (-0.04)
Draw 19.73%
Rio Ave 11.03% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.22% (+0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.3% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 24.7% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.7%
Under 2.5 47.3%
Over 3.5 30.05%
Under 3.5 69.95%
Over 4.5 20.87% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.13% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Braga 54.09%
Draw 33.09%
Rio Ave 12.82%

Team To Score First

Braga 72.44% (+0.02)
No Goal 7% (-0.02)
Rio Ave 20.56%

Corners

Over 8 52.03%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 36.4%
Over 9 40.76%
Equal 9 11.27%
Under 9 47.97%
Over 10.5 30.64%
Under 10.5 69.36%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 60.12%
Under 1.5 39.88%
Over 2.5 33.7% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 66.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 16.98%
Under 3.5 83.02%

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 42.01% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 57.99% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 13.01% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 86.99% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 2.58%
Under 2.5 97.42%
Over 3.5 0.37%
Under 3.5 99.63%

Score analysis

Braga 69.24%
Draw 19.74%
Rio Ave 11.04%
Braga
1-0 @ 13.44% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 12.22% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 10.33% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.39% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 16.96%
Total : 69.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.01% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.02%
Total : 19.74%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 4.28% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 3.27% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.36% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 11.04%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 31, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Clayton 5' goal
  • Ege Tiknaz 31' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Panzo 70' goal
  • Martim Neto 87' yellowcard
  • goal Fran Navarro 10'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 36'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 54'
  • yellowcard Ismael Gharbi 65'
  • yellowcard Uros Racic 78'
  • yellowcard Francisco Edgar Chissumba Rodrigues 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Gabri Martinez 31' goal
  • Ismael Gharbi 38' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 66' goal
  • Bruma 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Marios Vrousai 60'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Amine Oudrhiri 12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruma 12'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 44'
  • yellowcard Paulo Oliveira 49'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 60'
  • goal Simon Banza 63'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 7, 2023 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Serdar Saatci 40' yellowcard
  • Simon Banza 90'+1' goal
  • Abel Ruiz 90'+6' goal
  • goal Leonardo Acevedo 5'
  • yellowcard Jhonatan Luiz 74'
  • yellowcard Vitor Gomes 80'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Mar 5, 2023 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Bruma 36' goal
  • Simon Banza 79' goal