Primeira Liga
Jan 25, 2026 8.30pm
5
0
HT : 5 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Vitor Carvalho 17' goal
  • Vítor Carvalho 17' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 23' goal
  • Pau Victor Delgado 30' goal
  • Pau Víctor 30' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 45' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues 67' yellowcard
  • Diego Rodrigues 67' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Moscardo 74' yellowcard
  • Paulo Oliveira 74' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 79' goal
  • Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal 80' yellowcard
  • Sandro Vidigal 80' yellowcard
  • Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal 81' yellowcard
  • 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanovic 46'
  • yellowcard Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto 46'
  • yellowcard Chiquinho 46'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 46'
  • yellowcard Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira 46'
  • yellowcard José Julián Martínez Crisanto 46'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanović 46'
  • yellowcard Mathis Clairicia 70'
  • yellowcard Vasco Silva Moreira 80'
  • yellowcard Vasco Moreira 80'
  • yellowcard Vasco Silva Moreira 81'

Braga vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 6.00pm
Tondela 0 - 1 Braga
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 6.00pm
Alverca 2 - 1 Moreirense
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 66.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.81% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 12.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (10%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%) , while for a Alverca win it was 0-1 (4.62%).

Result

Braga 66.59% (-0.21)
Draw 20.81% (+0.08)
Alverca 12.58% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.92% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.12% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 24.88% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 50.92% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 49.08% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 28.18% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 71.82% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 17.55% (-0.13)
Under 4.5 82.45% (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Braga 46.73% (-0.25)
Draw 37.65% (+0.01)
Alverca 15.62% (+0.24)

Team To Score First

Braga 68.23% (+0.05)
No Goal 6.94% (+0.05)
Alverca 24.83% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 36.16% (-0.21)
Equal 8 11.12% (-0.04)
Under 8 52.72% (+0.23)
Over 9 26.62% (-0.17)
Equal 9 9.54% (-0.05)
Under 9 63.84% (+0.21)
Over 10.5 19.02% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 80.98% (+0.11)

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 58.11% (-0.22)
Under 1.5 41.89% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 30.85% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 69.15% (+0.28)
Over 3.5 13.16% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 86.84% (+0.19)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 45.33% (+0.19)
Under 0.5 54.67% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 14.66% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 85.34% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 3.28% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 96.72% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 0.56% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.44% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Braga 66.58%
Draw 20.82%
Alverca 12.57%
Braga
1-0 @ 13.29% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.94% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.32% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (+0.03)
Other @ 13.15% (-0.18)
Total : 66.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.79% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.94% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.59% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.82%
Alverca
0-1 @ 4.62% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 3.7% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.55% (+0.02)
Total : 12.57%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Aug 17, 2025 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT