Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (7.99%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.