Taca de Portugal
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Porto

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.8%. A draw has a probability of 25.24% and a win for Porto has a probability of 23.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Porto win it is 0-1 (6.84%).

Result

Sporting Lisbon 50.8% (+0.77)
Draw 25.24% (-0.34)
Porto 23.96% (-0.43)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.73% (+0.62)

Goals

Over 1.5 74% (+0.57)
Under 1.5 26% (-0.56)
Over 2.5 48.27% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 51.73% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 26.52% (+1.31)
Under 3.5 73.48% (-1.30)
Over 4.5 15.18% (+0.96)
Under 4.5 84.82% (-0.97)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 39.6% (+0.15)
Draw 38.67% (-0.09)
Porto 21.73% (-0.06)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 56.44% (-0.22)
No Goal 7.09% (-0.36)
Porto 36.47% (+0.57)

Corners

Over 8 53.49% (+0.54)
Equal 8 11.14% (-0.03)
Under 8 35.36% (-0.51)
Over 9 42.5% (+0.53)
Equal 9 11% (+0.02)
Under 9 46.51% (-0.54)
Over 10.5 32.48% (+0.46)
Under 10.5 67.52% (-0.47)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 46.11% (+1.26)
Under 1.5 53.89% (-1.26)
Over 2.5 20.86% (+1.02)
Under 2.5 79.14% (-1.02)
Over 3.5 8.15% (+0.70)
Under 3.5 91.85% (-0.70)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 58.43% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 41.57% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 25.46% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 74.54% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 8.1% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 91.9% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.3% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 97.7% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 50.79%
Draw 25.23%
Porto 23.95%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.16)
2-0 @ 9.49% (+0.21)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.18)
3-0 @ 4.9% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.15)
3-2 @ 2.53% (+0.06)
Other @ 8.02% (+0.65)
Total : 50.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.29)
0-0 @ 7.09% (-0.36)
2-2 @ 4.9% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.13% (+0.05)
Total : 25.23%
Porto
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 5.99% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 1.94% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.17% (+0.09)
Total : 23.95%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 9, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Deniz Gul 46' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 46' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 63' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' goal
  • Francisco Moura 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Luís Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 84'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Faye 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 84'
  • goal Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • goal Luis Suárez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 90'+10'
Primeira Liga
Aug 30, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 7, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 19' yellowcard
  • Martin Anselmi 62' yellowcard
  • Danny Loader 90'+4' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Fresneda 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+6'
  • redcard Matheus Reis 90'+7'
  • redcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+8'
Taca da Liga
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
  • Viktor Gyokeres 57' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 73' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 66'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Geny Catamo 28' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 30'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 70'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'
Portuguese Super Cup
Aug 3, 2024 8.15pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
ET Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
  • Goncalo Inacio 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 9' goal
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 24' goal
  • Eduardo Quaresma 72' yellowcard
  • Ruben Amorim 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Diomande 97' yellowcard
  • goal Galeno 28'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 45'+2'
  • goal Nico Gonzalez 64'
  • goal Galeno 66'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 67'
  • goal Ivan Jaime 101'