Taca de Portugal
Sporting Lisbon
Mar 3, 2026 8.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Porto
  • Luis Suárez 62' yellowcard
  • João Simões 66' yellowcard
  • Pedro Gonçalves 66' yellowcard
  • Daniel Bragança 85' yellowcard
  • Nuno Santos 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jakub Kiwior 44'
  • yellowcard Victor Froholdt 46'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 62'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 62'
  • yellowcard Deniz Gül 63'
  • yellowcard Gabri Veiga 63'
  • yellowcard Oskar Pietuszewski 73'

Sporting Lisbon vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Porto

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.4%. A win for Porto had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 50.4% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 24.32% ▼ (-0.92)
Porto 25.29% ▲ (+1.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.23% ▲ (+0.50)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.52% ▲ (+1.52)
Under 1.5 24.48% ▼ (-1.52)
Over 2.5 51.19% ▲ (+2.92)
Under 2.5 48.81% ▼ (-2.92)
Over 3.5 28.77% ▲ (+2.25)
Under 3.5 71.23% ▼ (-2.25)
Over 4.5 17.16% ▲ (+1.99)
Under 4.5 82.84% ▼ (-1.98)

First Half Winner

Sporting Lisbon 38.02% ▼ (-1.58)
Draw 38.32% ▼ (-0.36)
Porto 23.66% ▲ (+1.93)

Team To Score First

Sporting Lisbon 55.11% ▼ (-1.33)
No Goal 6.79% ▼ (-0.30)
Porto 38.1% ▲ (+1.64)

Corners

Over 8 51.86% ▼ (-1.64)
Equal 8 11.56% ▲ (+0.42)
Under 8 36.58% ▲ (+1.22)
Over 9 40.6% ▼ (-1.90)
Equal 9 11.25% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 9 48.14% ▲ (+1.64)
Over 10.5 30.51% ▼ (-1.97)
Under 10.5 69.49% ▲ (+1.97)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 1.5 47.38% ▲ (+1.28)
Under 1.5 52.62% ▼ (-1.28)
Over 2.5 22.31% ▲ (+1.45)
Under 2.5 77.69% ▼ (-1.46)
Over 3.5 9.41% ▲ (+1.26)
Under 3.5 90.59% ▼ (-1.26)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 59.2% ▲ (+0.78)
Under 0.5 40.8% ▼ (-0.78)
Over 1.5 26.9% ▲ (+1.44)
Under 1.5 73.1% ▼ (-1.45)
Over 2.5 9.29% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 2.5 90.71% ▼ (-1.20)
Over 3.5 2.76% ▲ (+0.46)
Under 3.5 97.24% ▼ (-0.47)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 50.4%
Draw 24.32%
Porto 25.3%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 10.87% ▼ (-1.17)
2-1 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.13)
2-0 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.63)
3-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.06)
3-2 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 9.28% ▲ (+1.26)
Total : 50.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% ▼ (-0.86)
0-0 @ 6.79% ▼ (-0.30)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.32%
Porto
0-1 @ 6.84%
1-2 @ 6.29% ▲ (+0.30)
0-2 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.24)
0-3 @ 1.69% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.46)
Total : 25.3%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Porto
Feb 9, 2026 8.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
Sporting Lisbon
  • Deniz Gul 46' yellowcard
  • Deniz Gül 46' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 63' yellowcard
  • Thiago Silva 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' goal
  • Francisco Moura 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Luís Guilherme 80'
  • yellowcard Daniel Braganca 84'
  • yellowcard Souleymane Faye 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bragança 84'
  • goal Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • goal Luis Suárez 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suarez Charris 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Luis Suárez 90'+10'
Primeira Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 30, 2025 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Porto
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Porto
Feb 7, 2025 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Do Dragao
Sporting Lisbon
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 19' yellowcard
  • Martin Anselmi 62' yellowcard
  • Danny Loader 90'+4' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 90'+10' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 90'+10' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Fresneda 42'
  • yellowcard Maximiliano Araujo 71'
  • yellowcard Rui Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Morten Hjulmand 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 90'+6'
  • redcard Matheus Reis 90'+7'
  • redcard Ousmane Diomande 90'+8'
Taca da Liga
Sporting Lisbon
Jan 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Pina Manique
Porto
  • Viktor Gyokeres 57' goal
  • Hidemasa Morita 63' yellowcard
  • Joao Pedro Arnauth Barrocas Simoes 73' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 66'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 72'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 31, 2024 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jose Alvalade
Porto
  • Geny Catamo 28' yellowcard
  • Viktor Gyokeres 72' goal
  • Geny Catamo 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 30'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 54'
  • yellowcard Otavio 69'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 70'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 90'+2'
Portuguese Super Cup
Sporting Lisbon
Aug 3, 2024 8.15pm
3
4
HT : 3 1
ET Estadio Municipal de Aveiro
Porto
  • Goncalo Inacio 6' goal
  • Pedro Goncalves 9' goal
  • Geovany Tcherno Quenda 24' goal
  • Eduardo Quaresma 72' yellowcard
  • Ruben Amorim 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Diomande 97' yellowcard
  • goal Galeno 28'
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 45'+2'
  • goal Nico Gonzalez 64'
  • goal Galeno 66'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 67'
  • goal Ivan Jaime 101'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 3 - 0 Estoril
Moreirense 0 - 3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 0 Famalicao
Porto 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 2 AVS
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Nacional
Porto 3 - 1 Arouca
Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Nacional 0 - 1 Porto
Porto 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Casa Pia 2 - 1 Porto
Porto 3 - 1 Rangers