Primeira Liga
Feb 27, 2026 6.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Oskar Pietuszewski 1' goal
  • Terem Moffi 61' yellowcard
  • William Gomes 62' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 62' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 76' yellowcard
  • André Alexandre Mendes Miranda 84' yellowcard
  • William Gomes 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Terem Moffi 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Boris Popović 46'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandín 66'
  • goal Naïs Djouahra 70'
  • yellowcard Yellu Santiago 78'
  • yellowcard José Silva 78'
  • yellowcard Miguel Puche 85'

Porto vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 8.30pm
Porto 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 3 - 0 Nacional
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 70.67%. A draw has a probability of 18.96% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.15%) and 2-1 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.68%) , while for a Arouca win it is 0-1 (3.92%).

Result

Porto 70.67%
Draw 18.96%
Arouca 10.4% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.98% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.13% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.87% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 51.02% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.98% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.05%
Under 3.5 71.95%
Over 4.5 18.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 81.6% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Porto 52.38%
Draw 33.04%
Arouca 14.58%

Team To Score First

Porto 70.71% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.76% (-0.03)
Arouca 22.53%

Corners

Over 8 52.82%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 35.13%
Over 9 41.02%
Equal 9 11.81%
Under 9 47.18%
Over 10.5 30.4%
Under 10.5 69.6%

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 60.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 39.31% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 32.72% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 67.28% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 14.34%
Under 3.5 85.66%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 40.96% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 59.04% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 12.46% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 87.54% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 2.68% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 97.32% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 0.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.53% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Porto 70.66%
Draw 18.96%
Arouca 10.4%
Porto
1-0 @ 14.21% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 14.15% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 10.01% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.89%
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 14.33%
Total : 70.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.68% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.96%
Arouca
0-1 @ 3.92%
1-2 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.46% (-0.01)
Total : 10.4%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 29, 2025 8.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Mar 1, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Chico Faria Camara Lamba 16' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 51' yellowcard
  • goal Samu Omorodion 13'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 62'
  • goal Fabio Vieira 77'
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 83'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2024 6.00pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Alan Varela 35' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 47' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 51' goal
  • Galeno 57' goal
  • Deniz Gul 85' goal
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guven Yalcin 32'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 32'
  • redcard Guven Yalcin 43'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 12, 2024 8.15pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 1' goal
  • Cristo 30' goal
  • Pedro Santos 39' yellowcard
  • Jason 60' goal
  • Jason 63' yellowcard
  • Oriol Busquets 74' yellowcard
  • goal Evanilson 9'
  • yellowcard Fabio Cardoso 69'
  • goal Francisco Conceicao 86'
  • yellowcard Francisco Conceicao 88'
  • yellowcard Wendell 88'
  • redcard Fabio Cardoso 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Mehdi Taremi 12' goal
  • Fabio Cardoso 26' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 57' yellowcard
  • Alan Varela 58' yellowcard
  • Evanilson 90'+19' goal
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 63'
  • goal Cristo 84'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 85'
  • yellowcard D. Ramos 90'+18'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • goal Ivan Marcano 44'