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-
Alfonso Trezza
47'
-
Dylan Nandín
65'
-
Pablo Gozálbez
65'
-
Dylan Nandín
66'
-
Pablo Gozálbez
66'
-
Hyun-ju Lee
67'
-
Dylan Nandín
72'
-
Diogo Monteiro
85'
-
Yellu Santiago
85'
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Miguel Puche
89'
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Deivison
46'
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Joel Silva
71'
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Jesús Ramírez
71'
-
Pablo Ruan
71'
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Witiness Quembo
78'
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Witiness Quembo
79'
-
Gabriel Veron
79'
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Daniel Jr
79'
Arouca vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (9.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result
Arouca
38.82%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
26.65%
▼
(-0.05)
Nacional
34.53%
Both Teams to Score:
52.35%
Goals
Over 1.5
72.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
27.51%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
47.4%
Under 2.5
52.59%
Over 3.5
25.54%
Under 3.5
74.46%
Over 4.5
13.42%
Under 4.5
86.58%
First Half Winner
Arouca
27.17%
Draw
42.26%
Nacional
30.57%
Team To Score First
Arouca
42.69%
No Goal
7.73%
Nacional
49.58%
Corners
Over 8
61.55%
Equal 8
11.48%
Under 8
26.97%
Over 9
49.46%
Equal 9
12.09%
Under 9
38.45%
Over 10.5
37.86%
Under 10.5
62.14%
Arouca Goals
Over 1.5
36.93%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
63.07%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
14.1%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
85.9%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
4.33%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
95.67%
▼
(-0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5
67.87%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
32.13%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
33.97%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
66.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
12.31%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
87.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
3.77%
Under 3.5
96.23%
Score analysis
Arouca
38.82%
Draw
26.65%
Nacional
34.52%
Arouca
1-0
@
10.48%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.82%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.77% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34%
Other @ 4.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 38.82%
Draw
1-1
@
12.52%
▼
(-0.04)
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.41%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.41%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
Nacional
0-1
@
9.29%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 34.52%
1-2 @ 8.11%
0-2 @ 5.8%
1-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 34.52%
Boris Popovic
62'