Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Arouca
Feb 7, 2026 8.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Alfonso Trezza 45'+1' goal
  • Barbero 56' goal
  • Iván Barbero 56' goal
  • Hyun-ju Lee 74' goal
  • Dylan Nandin 78' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandín 78' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gozalbez 84' yellowcard
  • Brian Mansilla 84' yellowcard
  • Pablo Gozálbez 84' yellowcard
  • Miguel Puche 89' yellowcard
  • Yellu Santiago 89' yellowcard
  • goal Noah Jose Saviolo 26'
  • goal Oumar Camara 30'
  • yellowcard Matija Mitrovic 46'
  • yellowcard Gustavo 66'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Silva 66'
  • yellowcard Telmo Arcanjo 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco Gomez 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Blanco 78'
  • yellowcard Orest Lebedenko 86'

Arouca vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 6.00pm
Rio Ave 0 - 3 Arouca
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Jan 30, 2026 8.45pm
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 46%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (7.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result

Arouca 29.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 24.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 46% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.08% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.5% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.5% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 48.35% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 29.85%
Under 3.5 70.15%
Over 4.5 16.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.29% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Arouca 18.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 42.85% ▲ (+0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 38.22%

Team To Score First

Arouca 32.53% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 60.98% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.61%
Equal 8 11.9%
Under 8 32.48% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 9 43.68%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 44.39%
Over 10.5 32.74%
Under 10.5 67.26%

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 31.42%
Under 1.5 68.58%
Over 2.5 11.3%
Under 2.5 88.7%
Over 3.5 3.33%
Under 3.5 96.67%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 75.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 44.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 55.51% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 19.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 80.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.93% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Arouca 29.7%
Draw 24.34%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 46%
Arouca
1-0 @ 7.84% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.72% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 29.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.49% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.34%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.56% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.73%
0-3 @ 4.03%
2-3 @ 3.09%
Other @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 46%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Aug 30, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Arouca
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Guimaraes
Jan 18, 2025 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • Dieu-Merci Ndembo-Michel 20' goal
  • Nuno Santos 40' goal
  • Kaio Cesar 45' yellowcard
  • goal Tiago Esgaio 56'
  • goal Chico Faria Camara Lamba 72'
  • yellowcard Weverson 80'
  • yellowcard Nico Mantl 85'
  • yellowcard Dylan Nandin 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Arouca
Aug 12, 2024 8.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Weverson 22' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 43' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 47' yellowcard
  • David Simao 62' yellowcard
  • Henrique Araujo 75' yellowcard
  • Jason 76' yellowcard
  • Matias Rocha 81' redcard
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 14'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 48'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
Arouca
May 18, 2024 3.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Guimaraes
  • Cristo 39' goal
  • Eboue Kouassi 45'+2' yellowcard
  • David Simao 64' yellowcard
  • Toni Borevkovic 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jota Silva 33'
  • yellowcard Tiago Silva 45'+3'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 50'
  • goal Thiago 53' (OG)
  • goal Manu Silva 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 72'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Lawal 82'
  • yellowcard Tomas Ribeiro 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Guimaraes
Jan 15, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • Alvaro Pacheco 32' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 45' goal
  • Andre Silva 64' goal
  • goal Jason 8'
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 31'
  • yellowcard Jason 40'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 24
Guimaraes
Mar 11, 2023 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Arouca
  • goal Rafa Mujica 50'
  • goal Antony 77'

Form Data

Rio Ave 0 - 3 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
AVS 0 - 1 Arouca
Tondela 3 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 2 - 2 Gil Vicente
Santa Clara 0 - 0 Arouca
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense
Estoril 4 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Porto
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Braga
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Nacional