Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 32.75% and a draw has a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.32%).