Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Nacional win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 32.44% and a draw has a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 1-2 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.45%).