Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 15, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Jesus Andres Ramirez

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Feb 9, 2026 8.45pm
Porto 1 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 64.44%. A draw has a probability of 20.18% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 15.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 0-2 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.51%) , while for a Nacional win it is 1-0 (4.53%).

Result

Nacional 15.35% (+0.04)
Draw 20.18% (+0.04)
Porto 64.44% (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.68% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.91% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.09% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 55.89% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 44.11% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 33.87% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 66.13% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 20.94% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 79.06% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Nacional 14.87% (+0.02)
Draw 37.6% (+0.03)
Porto 47.53% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Nacional 25.06% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.33% (-0.01)
Porto 69.61% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 59.21%
Equal 8 10.73%
Under 8 30.05% (-0.01)
Over 9 48.16% (+0.01)
Equal 9 11.06%
Under 9 40.79%
Over 10.5 37.65%
Under 10.5 62.35%

Nacional Goals

Over 1.5 19.73% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 80.27% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 5.29% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 94.71% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 1.26% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.74% (-0.02)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 86.37% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 13.63% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 60.02% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 39.98% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 32.27% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 67.73% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 13.99%
Under 3.5 86.01%

Score analysis

Nacional 15.36%
Draw 20.19%
Porto 64.43%
Nacional
1-0 @ 4.53% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 4.09% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.54% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.45% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.25% (+0.02)
Total : 15.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.51%
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.19%
Porto
0-2 @ 11.33% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 11.21% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 10.33% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 7.26% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 6.77%
2-3 @ 3.55%
Other @ 13.98%
Total : 64.43%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 13, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 34
May 17, 2025 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Francisco Moura 1' goal
  • Fabio Vieira 43' yellowcard
  • Samu Omorodion 69' goal
  • Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 83' goal
  • yellowcard Matheus Dias 13'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 26'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 45'+3'
  • redcard Ze Vitor 66'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Rodrigues dos Santos 80'
  • yellowcard Francisco Adriano Baptista Goncalves 88'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Garcia 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 12, 2025 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio da Madeira
  • Dudu 17' goal
  • Ze Vitor 44' goal
  • Gustavo Garcia 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Stephen Eustaquio 55' yellowcard
  • Jose Gomes 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 5'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Mora Carvalho 5'
  • yellowcard Djibril Soumare 56'
  • yellowcard Otavio 78'
  • yellowcard Fabio Vieira 82'
  • yellowcard Goncalo Borges 83'
  • yellowcard Nehuen Perez 83'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 13, 2024 11.00am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Centro de Treinos e Formacao Desportiva PortoGaia
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Apr 18, 2021 5.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Mehdi Taremi 20' goal
  • Joao Camacho 42' yellowcard
  • Kenji Gorre 56' yellowcard
  • Wilson Manafa 81' yellowcard
  • Mabrouk Haica Rouai 90'+1' yellowcard
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Dec 20, 2020 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Sergio Oliveira 21' goal
  • Moussa Marega 39' goal
  • yellowcard Pedrao 20'
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 63'