Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2026 3.30pm
Campo do Cevadeiro

Casa Pia vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 0 Casa Pia
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.30pm
Arouca 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Casa Pia has a probability of 31.36% and a draw has a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Casa Pia win is 1-0 (8.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.52%).

Result

Casa Pia 31.36%
Draw 26.66%
Arouca 41.98%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.36%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.12% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.88% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 49.3% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 50.7% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 27.83%
Under 3.5 72.17%
Over 4.5 15.09% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.91% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 22.36%
Draw 44.63%
Arouca 33.02%

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 36.04%
No Goal 7.45% (+0.01)
Arouca 56.51% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 51.58%
Equal 8 12.35%
Under 8 36.08%
Over 9 39.59%
Equal 9 11.99%
Under 9 48.42%
Over 10.5 28.94%
Under 10.5 71.06%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 32.35% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.65% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 11.86% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.14% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 3.59% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 96.41% (+0.01)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 73.43% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.57% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 40.71% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.29% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.21% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.79% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 5.7% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 94.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 31.36%
Draw 26.65%
Arouca 41.98%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 8.4% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02%
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 31.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.45% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.06% (-0.02)
Total : 26.65%
Arouca
0-1 @ 10.02% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.23%
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.55% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71%
Other @ 5.64%
Total : 41.98%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 14, 2025 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Taichi Fukui 17' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 23' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Trezza 90'+9' redcard
  • redcard Jose Fonte 43'
  • yellowcard Andrian Kraev 47'
  • yellowcard Caue 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Caue 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Cassiano 62'
  • yellowcard Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 75'
  • yellowcard Patrick Sequeira 86'
  • yellowcard Tiago Dias 90'+8'
  • redcard Iyad Mohamed 90'+9'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 20, 2024 8.15pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Jeremy Livolant 19' goal
  • Leonardo Lelo 20' goal
  • Cassiano 61' yellowcard
  • Samuel Obeng 88' goal
  • Beni Mukendi 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 18'
  • yellowcard Weverson 58'
  • goal Alfonso Trezza 63'
  • yellowcard David Simao 75'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 3.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Clayton 74' goal
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 64'
  • yellowcard David Simao 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 3.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Cristo 44' yellowcard
  • Francisco Montero 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vasco Fernandes 11'
  • yellowcard Beni Mukendi 83'
  • goal Felippe Cardoso 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Felippe Cardoso 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 3.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Arouca
  • Rafa Mujica 81' goal
  • Rafa Mujica 90'+3' goal