/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F10%2Fcaslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F28%2Farolog.png)
-
Rafael Brito
21'
-
Cassiano
25'
-
Cassiano
45'
-
João Marques
53'
-
Dailon Livramento
84'
-
Iyad Mohamed
84'
-
Clau Mendes
90'+3'
-
Iván Barbero
11'
-
Abdu Conté
37'
(OG)
-
Brian Mansilla
67'
-
Dylan Nandín
67'
-
Miguel Puche
84'
-
Pablo Gozálbez
84'
-
Diogo Monteiro
84'
Casa Pia vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F10%2Ffotojet-2025-11-01t003118-330-6905471d13b5b021121482.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
Result
Casa Pia
31.4%
▲
(+0.04)
Draw
26.62%
▼
(-0.04)
Arouca
41.98%
Both Teams to Score:
54.43%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
74.22%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
25.78%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 2.5
49.4%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
50.6%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
27.9%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 3.5
72.1%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 4.5
15.14%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
84.86%
▼
(-0.05)
First Half Winner
Casa Pia
22.36%
Draw
44.63%
Arouca
33.02%
Team To Score First
Casa Pia
36.05%
▲
(+0.01)
No Goal
7.42%
▼
(-0.04)
Arouca
56.53%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
51.58%
Equal 8
12.35%
Under 8
36.08%
Over 9
39.59%
Equal 9
11.99%
Under 9
48.42%
Over 10.5
28.94%
Under 10.5
71.06%
Casa Pia Goals
Over 1.5
32.43%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 1.5
67.57%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 2.5
11.92%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 2.5
88.08%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 3.5
3.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
96.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
73.48%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
26.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
40.75%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
59.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
17.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
82.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
5.71%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
94.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Casa Pia
31.41%
Draw
26.63%
Arouca
41.98%
Casa Pia
1-0
@
8.38%
▼
(-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 31.41%
2-1 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 31.41%
Draw
1-1
@
12.52%
0-0 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.63%
0-0 @ 7.42% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.63%
Arouca
0-1
@
10%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71%
Other @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.98%
1-2 @ 8.67% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.22% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.17%
0-3 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.71%
Other @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.98%
Head to Head
Primeira Liga
Gameweek
32
-
Taichi Fukui
17'
-
Jose Fontan
23'
-
Alfonso Trezza
90'+9'
-
Jose Fonte
43'
-
Andrian Kraev
47'
-
Caue
45'+3'
-
Caue
45'+3'
-
Cassiano
62'
-
Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
75'
-
Patrick Sequeira
86'
-
Tiago Dias
90'+8'
-
Iyad Mohamed
90'+9'