Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2026 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Victor Froholdt 22' goal
  • William Gomes 65' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 65' yellowcard
  • 65' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 75' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 75' yellowcard
  • Terem Moffi 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard João Tomé 65'
  • yellowcard Karem Zoabi 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard 65'
  • yellowcard Dario Spikic 65'
  • yellowcard Ryan 83'
  • yellowcard Antonis Papakanellos 83'
  • yellowcard João Graça 88'

Porto vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 0 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Feb 16, 2026 8.15pm
Rio Ave 1 - 2 Moreirense
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Andre Luiz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 76.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.64% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 6.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.86%) and 3-0 (10.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.56%) , while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (2.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood.

Result

Porto 76.8% (+0.04)
Draw 16.64% (+0.02)
Rio Ave 6.55% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

36.79% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.48% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 25.52% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 52.63% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 47.37% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 31.4% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 68.6% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 23.25% (-0.18)
Under 4.5 76.75% (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Porto 57.95% (+0.02)
Draw 30.48%
Rio Ave 11.58%

Team To Score First

Porto 74.27% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.56%
Rio Ave 18.17% (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.28% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.94%
Under 8 26.78% (-0.03)
Over 9 50.72% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.56% (+0.01)
Under 9 37.72% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 39.53% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 60.47% (-0.03)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 64.75% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 35.25% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 39.31% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 60.69% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 20.34% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 79.66% (+0.18)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 31.21% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 68.79% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 8.46% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 91.54% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 1.65% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 98.35% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 0.28% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 99.72% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Porto 76.81%
Draw 16.64%
Rio Ave 6.56%
Porto
1-0 @ 15.16% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 14.86% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 10.98% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.94% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.64% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 1.99% (-0.02)
Other @ 20.24% (-0.18)
Total : 76.81%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.56%
1-1 @ 6.36% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 2.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 16.64%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 2.81% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 1.96% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.02)
Total : 6.56%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 19, 2025 8.15pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2025 8.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Clayton 37' goal
  • Martim Neto 61' yellowcard
  • Ole Pohlmann 73' goal
  • Jonathan Panzo 90'+6' redcard
  • yellowcard Otavio 49'
  • goal Nehuen Perez 51'
  • yellowcard Stephen Eustaquio 53'
  • yellowcard Alan Varela 71'
  • goal Otavio 76'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 24, 2024 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Galeno 30' goal
  • Nico Gonzalez 30' goal
  • yellowcard Patrick 22'
  • redcard Patrick 43'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Do Dragao
  • Evanilson 5' yellowcard
  • Galeno 10' goal
  • Joao Mario 20' yellowcard
  • Galeno 69' yellowcard
  • Pepe 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Freire 6'
  • yellowcard Miguel Nobrega 36'
  • yellowcard Mateo Tanlongo 64'
  • yellowcard Jhonatan Luiz 77'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Boateng 84'
  • redcard Emmanuel Boateng 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2023 8.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
  • Aderlan 16' yellowcard
  • Amine Oudrhiri 32' yellowcard
  • Costinha 52' goal
  • Josue Sa 56' yellowcard
  • Renato Pantalon 62' yellowcard
  • Luis Freire 77'+77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nico Gonzalez 20'
  • yellowcard Wendell 68'
  • yellowcard Danny Loader 76'
  • goal Galeno 90'+1'
  • goal Ivan Marcano 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 18, 2023 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Toni Martinez 44' goal