Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.53% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 19.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.88%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%) , while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.