Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Braga
Feb 21, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Guimaraes

Braga vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 8.30pm
Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Braga
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 6.00pm
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes has a probability of 17.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it is 0-1 (5.49%).

Result

Braga 59.64%
Draw 23%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.35%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.09%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 24.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.37% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.68%
Under 3.5 71.32%
Over 4.5 16.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.1% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Braga 42.58%
Draw 38.62%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 18.8%

Team To Score First

Braga 61.57%
No Goal 6.89%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 31.54%

Corners

Over 8 45.86% ▼ (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.46%
Under 8 41.67%
Over 9 34.31%
Equal 9 11.56%
Under 9 54.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 10.5 24.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 75.53%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 53.75% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 46.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 26.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 73.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 10.85%
Under 3.5 89.15%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5 52.02% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 47.98% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 19.97% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 80.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.35% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.3%
Under 3.5 98.7%

Score analysis

Braga 59.64%
Draw 23.01%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 17.36%
Braga
1-0 @ 12.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 11.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 6.61%
3-1 @ 5.72%
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 10.75%
Total : 59.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.01%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1 @ 5.49%
1-2 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.57%
2-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 17.36%

Head to Head

Taca da Liga
Guimaraes
Jan 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Pina Manique
Braga
  • Oumar Camara 54' yellowcard
  • Samu 54' yellowcard
  • Samu 59' yellowcard
  • Gustavo 78' yellowcard
  • Alioune Ndoye 78' yellowcard
  • Matija Mitrovic 82' yellowcard
  • Alioune Ndoye 83' goal
  • goal Mario Dorgeles 17'
  • yellowcard Jean-Baptiste Gorby 60'
  • yellowcard Fran Navarro 74'
  • yellowcard Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues 74'
  • yellowcard Gabri Martinez 87'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 90'+11'
Primeira Liga
Guimaraes
Sep 20, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Braga
Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Guimaraes
Feb 16, 2025 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Braga
  • Toni Borevkovic 4' yellowcard
  • Nelson Oliveira 37' yellowcard
  • Luis Freire 79' yellowcard
  • Beni Mukendi 83' yellowcard
  • Joao Mendes 85' yellowcard
  • Mikel Villanueva 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bright Arrey-Mbi 42'
  • yellowcard Robson Bambu 56'
  • yellowcard Joao Ferreira 90'+2'
Taca da Liga
Braga
Oct 31, 2024 6.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio AXA
Guimaraes
  • Sikou Niakate 22' goal
  • Joao Ferreira 41' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 52' yellowcard
  • Bruma 75' goal
  • goal Nuno Santos 10'
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 13'
  • yellowcard Charles 18'
  • yellowcard Toni Borevkovic 45'
  • yellowcard Mikel Villanueva 63'
  • redcard Toni Borevkovic 65'
  • yellowcard Alberto Oliveira Baio 77'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 5
Braga
Sep 15, 2024 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Guimaraes
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 37' yellowcard
  • Bright Arrey-Mbi 56' redcard
  • Sikou Niakate 71' yellowcard
  • Joao Ferreira 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nuno Santos 17'
  • goal Joao Mendes 52'
  • yellowcard Nelson Oliveira 57'
  • goal Tomas Ribeiro 59'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 74'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Guimaraes
May 11, 2024 8.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Braga
  • Bruno Gaspar 10' goal
  • Charles 25' yellowcard
  • Bruno Gaspar 50' yellowcard
  • Andre Andre 69' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Mangas 80' goal
  • Nuno Santos 83' yellowcard
  • goal Bruma 24'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 38'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 75'
  • yellowcard Sikou Niakate 83'
  • goal Rony Lopes 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Rony Lopes 90'+4'

Form Data

Gil Vicente 2 - 1 Braga
Braga 3 - 0 Rio Ave
AVS 0 - 4 Braga
Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 Braga
Braga 5 - 0 Alverca
Braga 1 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Estrela Amadora
Arouca 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 1 - 0 Moreirense
Estoril 4 - 2 Guimaraes
Guimaraes 0 - 1 Porto
Guimaraes 2 - 1 Braga