Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.99% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%) , while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.