Primeira Liga Gameweek 22
Feb 14, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 8.30pm
Arouca 3 - 2 Guimaraes
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Oumar Camara

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.30pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 0 Santa Clara
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Kikas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 23.97% and a draw has a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 0-1 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.54%).

Result

Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.17%
Draw 23.89% (-0.04)
Estrela Amadora 23.97% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.98% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.71% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.29% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 48.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 28.41% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.59%
Over 4.5 16.34% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.66% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Vitoria de Guimaraes 41.47%
Draw 42.67%
Estrela Amadora 15.86%

Team To Score First

Vitoria de Guimaraes 63.8%
No Goal 6.32% (-0.01)
Estrela Amadora 29.88% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 55.52% (+0.02)
Equal 8 12.18%
Under 8 32.31% (-0.01)
Over 9 43.31% (+0.02)
Equal 9 12.21% (+0.02)
Under 9 44.48% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 32.14% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 67.86% (-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 1.5 48.29% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.71% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 22.52% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.48% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.27% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.73% (+0.02)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 59.2% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 40.8% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 26.38% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 73.62% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.05% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 90.95% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 2.67% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.33% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.17%
Draw 23.89%
Estrela Amadora 23.98%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 11.64%
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.12%
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
Other @ 8.2%
Total : 52.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (-0.01)
Total : 23.89%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 6.11%
0-2 @ 3.52% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.16% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6% (+0.04)
Total : 23.98%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Sep 14, 2025 3.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2025 8.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Tomas Handel 10' goal
  • Joao Mendes 56' yellowcard
  • Telmo Arcanjo 66' goal
  • yellowcard Ferro 12'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Leonel Bucca 45'+1' goal
  • Ferro 50' yellowcard
  • Nani 66' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 84' goal
  • yellowcard Tomas Handel 32'
  • goal Nuno Santos 43'
  • goal Tiago Silva 69'
  • yellowcard Joao Mendes 75'
  • yellowcard Manu Silva 82'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2024 8.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
  • Nuno Santos 14' goal
  • Tiago Silva 24' yellowcard
  • Jota Silva 79' goal
  • Andre Silva 88' goal
  • yellowcard Johnstone Omorwa 18'
  • redcard Hevertton Santos 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Miguel Lopes 20' redcard
  • Joao Reis 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Leo Jaba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kikas 90'+9' yellowcard
  • Sergio Agostinho de Oliveira Vieira 90'+11' redcard
  • yellowcard Ze Carlos 19'
  • goal Jota Silva 24'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gaspar 62'
  • yellowcard Andre Andre 70'