Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Manchester City has a probability of 33.1% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Manchester City win is 1-2 (7.73%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.11%).