EFL Cup
Arsenal
Mar 22, 2026 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Man City
  • Riccardo Calafiori 65' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 66' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 82' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 82' yellowcard
  • goal Nico O'Reilly 60'
  • goal Nico O'Reilly 64'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 90'

Arsenal vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (7.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 43.9% ▲ (+1.11)
Draw 24.2% ▲ (+0.20)
Manchester City 31.9% ▼ (-1.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.3% ▼ (-1.21)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.54% ▼ (-0.84)
Under 1.5 20.46% ▲ (+0.84)
Over 2.5 56.9% ▼ (-1.31)
Under 2.5 43.1% ▲ (+1.31)
Over 3.5 34.5% ▼ (-1.30)
Under 3.5 65.5% ▲ (+1.30)
Over 4.5 20.06% ▼ (-0.98)
Under 4.5 79.94% ▲ (+0.97)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 46.11% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 1.5 53.89% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 2.5 21.39%
Under 2.5 78.61%
Over 3.5 8.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 91.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 68.25% ▼ (-1.24)
Under 0.5 31.75% ▲ (+1.24)
Over 1.5 36.09% ▼ (-1.70)
Under 1.5 63.91% ▲ (+1.70)
Over 2.5 14.42% ▼ (-1.20)
Under 2.5 85.58% ▲ (+1.21)
Over 3.5 4.69% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 3.5 95.31% ▲ (+0.58)

Score analysis

Arsenal 43.89%
Draw 24.19%
Manchester City 31.92%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.12)
1-0 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.47)
2-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.38)
3-1 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.64% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 7.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 43.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.12% ▼ (-0.17)
0-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.33)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 24.19%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 7.57% ▼ (-0.17)
0-1 @ 6.95% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.23)
2-3 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.19)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 4.47% ▼ (-0.57)
Total : 31.92%

Head to Head

Premier League
Arsenal
Sep 21, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
Premier League Gameweek 24
Arsenal
Feb 2, 2025 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Man City
  • Martin Odegaard 2' goal
  • Jurrien Maduro 25' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 56' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 62' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 71' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 76' goal
  • Ethan Nwaneri 90'+3' goal
  • goal Erling Haaland 55'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Man City
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • Erling Haaland 9' goal
  • Ederson 23' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dias 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • John Stones 90'+8' goal
  • Pep Guardiola 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Riccardo Calafiori 22'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 34'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 45'+7'
  • redcard Leandro Trossard 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 65'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 83'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Mar 31, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 67'
  • yellowcard David Raya 79'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Arsenal
Oct 8, 2023 4.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Man City
  • Jorginho 11' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 86' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 23'
  • yellowcard Mateo Kovacic 29'
  • yellowcard Ederson 90'+3'
Community Shield
Arsenal
Aug 6, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Man City
  • Thomas Partey 8' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 27' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 66' yellowcard
  • Leandro Trossard 90'+11' goal
  • yellowcard Julian Alvarez 31'
  • goal Cole Palmer 77'

Form Data

Arsenal 2 - 0 B. Leverkusen
Arsenal 2 - 0 Everton
B. Leverkusen 1 - 1 Arsenal
Mansfield 1 - 2 Arsenal
Brighton 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 1 Chelsea
Man City 0 - 0 Crystal Palace
Man City 1 - 2 Real Madrid
West Ham 1 - 1 Man City
Real Madrid 3 - 0 Man City
Newcastle 1 - 3 Man City
Man City 2 - 2 Nott'm Forest

Build-up

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