Champions League
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Erling Haaland
41'
-
Marc Guéhi
46'
-
Nathan Aké
46'
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Omar Marmoush
56'
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Antoine Semenyo
57'
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Nico González
74'
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74'
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Vinicius Junior
22'
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Andriy Lunin
46'
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Thibaut Courtois
46'
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46'
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Kylian Mbappé
69'
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Eduardo Camavinga
74'
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Manuel Ángel Morán
74'
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74'
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Daniel Carvajal
83'
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Vinicius Junior
90'+3'
Manchester City vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Reaction
News
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The match
Team News
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Match Preview
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Predicted Lineups
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Injuries & Suspensions
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 28.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result
Manchester City
48.52%
▲
(+0.80)
Draw
23.1%
▼
(-0.04)
Real Madrid
28.38%
▼
(-0.75)
Both Teams to Score:
57.83%
▲
(+0.19)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.05%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
18.95%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
59.69%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 2.5
40.31%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 3.5
37.36%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 3.5
62.64%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 4.5
22.98%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 4.5
77.02%
▼
(-0.41)
First Half Winner
Manchester City
37.67%
▼
(-0.69)
Draw
37.15%
▲
(+0.26)
Real Madrid
25.17%
▲
(+0.43)
Team To Score First
Manchester City
56.16%
▼
(-0.04)
No Goal
4.83%
▲
(+0.13)
Real Madrid
39.01%
▼
(-0.11)
Corners
Over 8
55.36%
▲
(+0.91)
Equal 8
10.77%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 8
33.88%
▼
(-1.10)
Over 9
44.57%
▲
(+0.67)
Equal 9
10.79%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 9
44.64%
▼
(-0.91)
Over 10.5
34.58%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 10.5
65.42%
▼
(-0.40)
Manchester City Goals
Over 1.5
50.85%
▲
(+0.65)
Under 1.5
49.15%
▼
(-0.65)
Over 2.5
25.77%
▲
(+0.74)
Under 2.5
74.23%
▼
(-0.73)
Over 3.5
10.84%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 3.5
89.16%
▼
(-0.57)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
64.97%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 0.5
35.03%
▲
(+0.83)
Over 1.5
33.96%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 1.5
66.04%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 2.5
13.58%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 2.5
86.42%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 3.5
4.69%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 3.5
95.31%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Manchester City
48.52%
Draw
23.1%
Real Madrid
28.39%
Manchester City
2-1
@
9.35%
1-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.54)
Total : 48.52%
1-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.07% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 5.38% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 10.52% ▲ (+0.54)
Total : 48.52%
Draw
1-1
@
10.36%
▼
(-0.09)
2-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.1%
2-2 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.56% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 23.1%
Real Madrid
1-2
@
6.85%
▼
(-0.15)
0-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 5.92% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▼ (-0.18)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.37% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 28.39%
Head to Head
Champions League
-
Federico Valverde
20'
-
Federico Valverde
27'
-
Federico Valverde
42'
-
Fran García
46'
-
Vinicius Junior
57'
-
Vinicius Junior
58'
-
Eduardo Camavinga
70'
-
70'
-
Franco Mastantuono
76'
-
Manuel Ángel Morán
76'
-
Daniel Carvajal
83'
-
Tijjani Reijnders
46'
-
Rayan Cherki
69'
-
69'
-
Rayan Cherki
70'
-
Rayan Aït-Nouri
70'
-
70'
-
Omar Marmoush
82'
Champions League
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Rodrygo
28'
-
Antonio Rudiger
43'
-
Rodrygo
87'
-
Alvaro Fernandez
88'
-
Phil Foden
11'
-
Nico O'Reilly
35'
-
Erling Haaland
43'
-
Nico O'Reilly
76'
-
Pep Guardiola
82'
-
Pep Guardiola
82'
-
Bernardo Silva
90'
Champions League
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Kylian Mbappe
4'
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Kylian Mbappe
33'
-
Jude Bellingham
38'
-
Kylian Mbappe
61'
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Ilkay Gundogan
28'
-
Nico Gonzalez
47'
-
Nico Gonzalez
90'+2'
Champions League
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Erling Haaland
19'
-
Erling Haaland
80'
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Kylian Mbappe
60'
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Brahim Diaz
86'
-
Jude Bellingham
90'+2'
Champions League
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Jack Grealish
59'
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Josko Gvardiol
61'
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Kevin De Bruyne
76'
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Rodri
90'
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Rodrygo
12'
-
Dani Carvajal
38'
-
Ferland Mendy
90'+4'
Champions League
-
Aurelien Tchouameni
1'
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Ruben Dias
12'
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Rodrygo
14'
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Federico Valverde
79'
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Dani Carvajal
81'
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Bernardo Silva
2'
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Manuel Akanji
37'
-
Phil Foden
66'
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Josko Gvardiol
71'
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Bernardo Silva
88'
Form Data
Build-up
News
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News
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How to watch
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