La Liga
Feb 21, 2026 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Ante Budimir 38' yellowcard
  • Abel Bretones 66' yellowcard
  • Raúl García 66' yellowcard
  • Raúl García 67' yellowcard
  • Iker Muñoz 71' yellowcard
  • Iñigo Arguibide 83' yellowcard
  • Raúl Moro 83' yellowcard
  • Raúl García 90' goal
  • yellowcard Brahim Díaz 64'
  • yellowcard Daniel Carvajal  64'
  • yellowcard Trent Alexander-Arnold  64'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 73'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo García 75'
  • yellowcard Dani Ceballos 82'

Osasuna vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

All competitions
Last game
Feb 13, 2026 8.00pm
Elche 0 - 0 Osasuna
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Ante Budimir

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Feb 14, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.16% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 21.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%) , while for a Osasuna win it was 2-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Osasuna 21.31% (-0.09)
Draw 23.16% (-0.04)
Real Madrid 55.5% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.1% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.29% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 19.71% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 58.65% (-0.40)
Under 2.5 41.35% (+0.40)
Over 3.5 36.87% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 63.13% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 22.57% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 77.43% (-0.09)

First Half Winner

Osasuna 22%
Draw 39.84%
Real Madrid 38.15%

Team To Score First

Osasuna 33.41% (-0.05)
No Goal 5.32% (+0.03)
Real Madrid 61.27% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 56.06% (-0.17)
Equal 8 11.24% (-0.09)
Under 8 32.7% (+0.25)
Over 9 44.76% (-0.09)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.09)
Under 9 43.94% (+0.17)
Over 10.5 34.3%
Under 10.5 65.7%

Osasuna Goals

Over 1.5 27.53% (-0.17)
Under 1.5 72.47% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 9.14% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 90.86% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.58% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.42% (-0.02)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 83.07% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 16.93% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 55.98% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 44.02% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 29.97% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 70.03% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 12.85% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Osasuna 21.32%
Draw 23.16%
Real Madrid 55.49%
Osasuna
2-1 @ 5.64% (-0.12)
1-0 @ 5.39% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.93% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.19% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.91% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.28% (+0.03)
Total : 21.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.29% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 5.32% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 23.16%
Real Madrid
1-2 @ 9.91% (-0.16)
0-1 @ 8.97% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 8.42% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 6.35% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 5.24% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 4.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 12.55% (+0.03)
Total : 55.49%

Head to Head

La Liga
Aug 19, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2025 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Jesus Areso 48' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz 52' yellowcard
  • Ante Budimir 58' goal
  • Aimar Oroz 73' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 15'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 21'
  • redcard Jude Bellingham 39'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 57'
La Liga Gameweek 13
Nov 9, 2024 1.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Vinicius Junior 34' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 42' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 61' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 69' goal
  • yellowcard Alejandro Catena 55'
  • yellowcard Lucas Torro 88'
La Liga Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 3.15pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
FT Estadio El Sadar
  • Ante Budimir 7' goal
  • Jorge Herrando 31' yellowcard
  • Lucas Torro 55' yellowcard
  • Unai Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • Iker Munoz 90'+1' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 4'
  • goal Dani Carvajal 18'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 44'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 53'
  • goal Brahim Diaz 61'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 64'
La Liga Gameweek 9
Oct 7, 2023 3.15pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Jude Bellingham 9' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 40' yellowcard
  • Jude Bellingham 54' goal
  • Aurelien Tchouameni 59' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 65' goal
  • Joselu 70' goal
  • yellowcard Kike Barja 83'
  • yellowcard Pablo Ibanez 83'
Copa del Rey
May 6, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Olímpico de Sevilla
  • Rodrygo 2' goal
  • Rodrygo 70' goal
  • goal Lucas Torro 58'

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