La Liga Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Elche
  • Antonio Rüdiger  39' goal
  • Federico Valverde 44' goal
  • Gonzalo García 58' yellowcard
  • Arda Güler 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Yáñez 58' yellowcard
  • Daniel Yáñez 59' yellowcard
  • Diego Aguado 61' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ángel Morán 63' yellowcard
  • Manuel Ángel Morán 64' yellowcard
  • César Palacios 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • 64' yellowcard
  • Dean Huijsen 66' goal
  • Arda Güler 89' goal
  • yellowcard Adrià Pedrosa 23'
  • yellowcard Rafa Mir 64'
  • yellowcard Josan 64'
  • yellowcard Marc Aguado 64'
  • yellowcard Grady Diangana 74'
  • yellowcard Pedro Bigas 74'
  • goal Manuel Ángel Morán 85' (OG)

Real Madrid vs Elche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
Villarreal 2 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
German Valera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.06%) and 3-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (7.46%) , while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.19%).

Result

Real Madrid 71.7% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 18.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Elche 9.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

40.51%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 25.16% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.65% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.35% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 32.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.93%
Over 4.5 22.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.59% ▲ (+0.03)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 49.35%
Draw 34.37%
Elche 16.28%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 66.03% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Elche 26.51%

Corners

Over 8 57.36% ▲ (+0.39)
Equal 8 10.93% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 8 31.72% ▼ (-0.60)
Over 9 46.26% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.1% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 9 42.64% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 10.5 35.87% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 10.5 64.13% ▲ (+0.08)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 62.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 37.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 35.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 64.21% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 17.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 82.67% ▲ (+0.05)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 37.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 0.5 62.68% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 1.5 13.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 86.89% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.93% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.07% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.95% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 71.69%
Draw 18.5%
Elche 9.81%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 14.51% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 14.06%
3-0 @ 9.49% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-1 @ 5.74%
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 17.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 71.69%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.46% ▲ (+0.01)
1-1 @ 7.01% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.09%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.5%
Elche
0-1 @ 3.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.51%
0-2 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.88% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 9.81%

Head to Head

La Liga
Elche
Nov 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Real Madrid
La Liga Gameweek 21
Real Madrid
Feb 15, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Elche
  • Marco Asensio 8' goal
  • Karim Benzema 31' goal
  • Karim Benzema 45'+1' goal
  • Luka Modric 80' goal
La Liga Gameweek 10
Elche
Oct 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Real Madrid
  • goal Federico Valverde 11'
  • goal Karim Benzema 75'
  • goal Marco Asensio 89'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Real Madrid
Jan 23, 2022 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Elche
  • Eder Militao 54' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 72' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 82' goal
  • Eder Militao 90'+2' goal
  • David Alaba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Boye 42'
  • yellowcard Fidel 55'
  • goal Pere Milla 76'
Copa del Rey
Elche
Jan 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Real Madrid
  • Pere Milla 87' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo 103' goal
  • Pere Milla 120'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 78'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 87'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 94'
  • redcard Marcelo 102'
  • goal Isco 108'
  • goal Eden Hazard 115'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Elche
Oct 30, 2021 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Real Madrid
  • Raul Guti 8' yellowcard
  • Raul Guti 63' redcard
  • Pere Milla 86' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 22'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 73'

Form Data

Real Madrid 3 - 0 Man City
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 0 - 1 Getafe
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Benfica
Osasuna 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Benfica 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Villarreal 2 - 1 Elche
Elche 2 - 2 Espanyol
Athletic Bilbao 2 - 1 Elche
Elche 0 - 0 Osasuna
Real Sociedad 3 - 1 Elche
Elche 1 - 3 Barcelona

Build-up

News
Head to head