La Liga Gameweek 28
Mar 14, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Elche - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Real Madrid
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Elche

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2026 1.00pm
Villarreal 2 - 1 Elche
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
German Valera

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw has a probability of 17.96% and a win for Elche has a probability of 9.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.02%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (7.11%) , while for a Elche win it is 0-1 (3.05%).

Result

Real Madrid 72.87%
Draw 17.96%
Elche 9.15%

Both Teams to Score: 

40.78%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.69%
Under 1.5 24.31%
Over 2.5 53.89%
Under 2.5 46.11%
Over 3.5 33.35%
Under 3.5 66.66%
Over 4.5 23.44%
Under 4.5 76.56%

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 50.47%
Draw 33.85%
Elche 15.68%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 67.49%
No Goal 7.11%
Elche 25.4%

Corners

Over 8 58.12%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 31.04%
Over 9 47.07%
Equal 9 11.05%
Under 9 41.88%
Over 10.5 36.66%
Under 10.5 63.34%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 63.72%
Under 1.5 36.28%
Over 2.5 37.46%
Under 2.5 62.54%
Over 3.5 18.34%
Under 3.5 81.66%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5 36.92%
Under 0.5 63.08%
Over 1.5 12.66%
Under 1.5 87.34%
Over 2.5 3.84%
Under 2.5 96.16%
Over 3.5 1.06%
Under 3.5 98.94%

Score analysis

Real Madrid 72.87%
Draw 17.97%
Elche 9.15%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 14.14%
2-0 @ 14.02%
3-0 @ 9.69%
2-1 @ 8.28%
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 2.52%
Other @ 18.11%
Total : 72.87%
Draw
0-0 @ 7.11%
1-1 @ 6.82%
2-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.97%
Elche
0-1 @ 3.05%
1-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 9.15%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 15, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Marco Asensio 8' goal
  • Karim Benzema 31' goal
  • Karim Benzema 45'+1' goal
  • Luka Modric 80' goal
La Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 19, 2022 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • goal Federico Valverde 11'
  • goal Karim Benzema 75'
  • goal Marco Asensio 89'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 23, 2022 3.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Eder Militao 54' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 72' yellowcard
  • Luka Modric 82' goal
  • Eder Militao 90'+2' goal
  • David Alaba 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Boye 42'
  • yellowcard Fidel 55'
  • goal Pere Milla 76'
Copa del Rey
Jan 20, 2022 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
ET Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
  • Pere Milla 87' yellowcard
  • Gonzalo 103' goal
  • Pere Milla 120'+2' redcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 78'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 87'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 94'
  • redcard Marcelo 102'
  • goal Isco 108'
  • goal Eden Hazard 115'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2021 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Raul Guti 8' yellowcard
  • Raul Guti 63' redcard
  • Pere Milla 86' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 22'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 73'