Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.