Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 23.51% and a win for Elche had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%) , while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.