La Liga Gameweek 27
Celta Vigo
Mar 6, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio de Balaídos
Real Madrid
  • Borja Iglesias 25' goal
  • Fer López 69' yellowcard
  • Hugo Álvarez 70' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 70' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 83' yellowcard
  • Matías Vecino 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Aurélien Tchouaméni 11'
  • yellowcard César Palacios 65'
  • yellowcard Gonzalo García 77'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ángel Morán 90'
  • goal Federico Valverde 90'+4'

Celta Vigo vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2026 8.00pm
Girona 1 - 2 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Borja Iglesias

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2026 8.00pm
Real Madrid 0 - 1 Getafe
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 50.12%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 2-1 (6.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 26.14%
Draw 23.74%
Real Madrid 50.12%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.15% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.43% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 55.83% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.17% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 33.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 80.25% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 26.84%
Draw 41.67%
Real Madrid 31.49%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 42.68% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Real Madrid 51.66% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.76%
Equal 8 11.57%
Under 8 30.67%
Over 9 45.97%
Equal 9 11.8%
Under 9 42.24%
Over 10.5 34.95%
Under 10.5 65.05%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 30.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 11.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 88.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.41%
Under 3.5 96.59%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 79.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 20.34% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 49.93% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 50.07% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.51% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.87%
Under 3.5 90.13%

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 26.14%
Draw 23.74%
Real Madrid 50.12%
Celta Vigo
2-1 @ 6.6% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.6% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.68%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 26.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.74%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 9.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.46% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 8.14%
1-3 @ 5.32%
0-3 @ 4.79%
2-3 @ 3.19%
Other @ 9.63%
Total : 50.12%

Head to Head

La Liga
Real Madrid
Dec 7, 2025 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Celta Vigo
  • Jude Bellingham 62' yellowcard
  • Fran Garcia 63' yellowcard
  • Fran Garcia 64' yellowcard
  • Fran Garcia 65' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 73' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Fernandez 90'+2' redcard
  • Rodrygo 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Xabi Alonso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Williot Swedberg 53'
  • yellowcard Ilaix Moriba 83'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 90'+3'
La Liga Gameweek 34
Real Madrid
May 4, 2025 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo
  • Arda Guler 33' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 39' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 45' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 48' goal
  • Jacobo Ramon Naveros 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoel Lago Amil 62'
  • goal Javier Rodriguez Galiano 69'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 76'
Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
Jan 16, 2025 8.30pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo
  • Kylian Mbappe 37' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 48' goal
  • Raul Asencio del Rosario 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Endrick 108' goal
  • Endrick 109' yellowcard
  • Federico Valverde 112' goal
  • Endrick 119' goal
  • goal Jonathan Bamba 83'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Villar 96'
  • yellowcard Marcos Alonso 101'
  • yellowcard Carl Starfelt 101'
  • yellowcard Borja Iglesias 111'
La Liga Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
Oct 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Real Madrid
  • Williot Swedberg 51' goal
  • Hugo Sotelo 82' yellowcard
  • Marcos Alonso 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 19'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 20'
  • goal Vinicius Junior 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Vazquez 75'
La Liga Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo
  • Vinicius Junior 21' goal
  • Eduardo Camavinga 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Junior 55' yellowcard
  • Vicente Guaita 79' goal
  • Carlos Dominguez 88' goal
  • Arda Guler 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Luca de la Torre 25'
  • yellowcard Oscar Mingueza 55'
  • yellowcard Javi Manquillo 82'
La Liga Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaidos
Real Madrid
  • Jorgen Strand Larsen 3' goal
  • Iago Aspas 67' yellowcard
  • Renato Tapia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Toni Kroos 71'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 81'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nacho 90'+6'

Form Data

Girona 1 - 2 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 0 PAOK
Celta Vigo 2 - 0 Mallorca
PAOK 1 - 2 Celta Vigo
Espanyol 2 - 2 Celta Vigo
Celta Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna
Real Madrid 0 - 1 Getafe
Real Madrid 2 - 1 Benfica
Osasuna 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Benfica 0 - 1 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Real Sociedad
Valencia 0 - 2 Real Madrid

Build-up

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