La Liga
Mar 1, 2026 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Vladyslav Vanat 35' goal
  • Thomas Lemar 64' yellowcard
  • Azzedine Ounahi 64' yellowcard
  • Iván Martín 65' yellowcard
  • Abel Ruiz 73' yellowcard
  • Claudio Echeverri 73' yellowcard
  • Claudio Echeverri 74' yellowcard
  • Abel Ruiz 74' yellowcard
  • Joel Roca 81' yellowcard
  • goal Ferran Jutglà 58'
  • yellowcard Williot Swedberg 59'
  • goal Vitor Reis 70' (OG)
  • yellowcard Andrés Antañón 73'
  • yellowcard Jones El-Abdellaoui 73'
  • yellowcard Jones El-Abdellaoui 74'
  • yellowcard Andrés Antañón 74'
  • yellowcard Javi Rueda 85'
  • yellowcard Manu Fernández 85'

Girona vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.00pm
Alaves 2 - 2 Girona
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Viktor Tsygankov

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 5.30pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.

Result

Girona 30.12% (-0.17)
Draw 27.08% (-0.06)
Celta Vigo 42.79% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.7% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.47%
Under 1.5 28.53%
Over 2.5 46.54% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 53.46% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 25.55% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 74.45% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.54% (+0.07)
Under 4.5 86.46% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Girona 21.32%
Draw 43.23%
Celta Vigo 35.45%

Team To Score First

Girona 35.53% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.5% (-0.03)
Celta Vigo 55.97% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 45.61% (+0.09)
Equal 8 12.56% (+0.01)
Under 8 41.83% (-0.11)
Over 9 34% (+0.08)
Equal 9 11.61% (+0.02)
Under 9 54.39% (-0.09)
Over 10.5 24.16% (+0.06)
Under 10.5 75.84% (-0.05)

Girona Goals

Over 1.5 29.5% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 70.5% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 10.07% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 89.93% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.71% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.29% (+0.03)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 72.56% (+0.11)
Under 0.5 27.44% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 40.22% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 59.78% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 16.78% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 83.22% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 5.72% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 94.28% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Girona 30.11%
Draw 27.08%
Celta Vigo 42.78%
Girona
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 6.65% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.13% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.84% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.54% (-0.03)
Total : 30.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 8.5% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 27.08%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.48% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.15% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 3.47% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.55% (+0.07)
Total : 42.78%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 14, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2025 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Viktor Tsygankov 21' goal
  • Yangel Herrera 68' goal
  • goal Iker Losada 36'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 51'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Hugo Alvarez 78' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 81' goal
  • goal Yangel Herrera 38'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Jailson 71' yellowcard
  • goal Portu 20'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 50'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Yan Couto 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Stuani 77' yellowcard
  • Juanpe 82' yellowcard
  • Yangel Herrera 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 55'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 77'
  • goal 83'
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 23, 2023 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Carles Perez 42' goal
  • goal Cristhian Stuani 59'