La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2026 8.00pm
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi

Girona vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Last game
Feb 23, 2026 8.00pm
Alaves 2 - 2 Girona
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Viktor Tsygankov

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Feb 22, 2026 5.30pm
Celta Vigo 2 - 0 Mallorca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Williot Swedberg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.29%. A win for Girona has a probability of 30.55% and a draw has a probability of 27.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Girona win is 1-0 (9.46%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).

Result

Girona 30.55% (+0.11)
Draw 27.13% (+0.04)
Celta Vigo 42.29% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.63% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.41% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 28.59% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 46.46% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 53.54% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 25.49% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 74.51% (+0.08)
Over 4.5 13.5% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 86.5% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Girona 21.34%
Draw 43.22%
Celta Vigo 35.44%

Team To Score First

Girona 35.52% (-0.01)
No Goal 8.52% (+0.03)
Celta Vigo 55.96% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 45.5%
Equal 8 12.55%
Under 8 41.95%
Over 9 33.91%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 54.5%
Over 10.5 24.09%
Under 10.5 75.91%

Girona Goals

Over 1.5 29.85% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.15% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 10.24% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.76% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.78% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.22% (-0.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 72.16% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 27.84% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 39.81% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 60.19% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 16.55% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.45% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 5.63% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.37% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Girona 30.55%
Draw 27.13%
Celta Vigo 42.27%
Girona
1-0 @ 9.46% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 6.7% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.26% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.74%
3-0 @ 1.95% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 30.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% (+0.01)
Total : 27.13%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.09% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.45% (-0.05)
Total : 42.27%

Head to Head

La Liga
Sep 14, 2025 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
La Liga Gameweek 26
Mar 1, 2025 1.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Viktor Tsygankov 21' goal
  • Yangel Herrera 68' goal
  • goal Iker Losada 36'
  • goal Marcos Alonso 51'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 29, 2024 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Hugo Alvarez 78' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 81' goal
  • goal Yangel Herrera 38'
La Liga Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Balaidos
  • Jailson 71' yellowcard
  • goal Portu 20'
  • yellowcard Daley Blind 50'
La Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Yan Couto 45'+7' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Stuani 77' yellowcard
  • Juanpe 82' yellowcard
  • Yangel Herrera 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Vazquez 55'
  • yellowcard Unai Nunez 77'
  • goal 83'
La Liga Gameweek 36
May 23, 2023 6.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Carles Perez 42' goal
  • goal Cristhian Stuani 59'