Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (9.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.