Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.