Europa League
Feb 26, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Miguel Román 46' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 63' goal
  • Ferran Jutglà 67' yellowcard
  • Fer López 76' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 76' yellowcard
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 77' yellowcard
  • Fer López 77' yellowcard
  • Carlos Domínguez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mady Camara 64'
  • yellowcard Greg Taylor 74'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jeremejeff 79'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jeremejeff 80'

Celta Vigo vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
PAOK 1 - 2 Celta Vigo

PAOK

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
PAOK 1 - 2 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (8.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 36.12% (+0.05)
Draw 26.01% (+0.02)
PAOK 37.87% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

56% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.69% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 24.31% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 52.36% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 47.64% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 30.15% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 69.85% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 16.83% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 83.17% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 26.27%
Draw 43.67%
PAOK 30.05%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 44.1%
No Goal 7%
PAOK 48.9%

Corners

Over 8 46.84% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.23% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.93% (-0.05)
Over 9 35.4% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.44% (+0.01)
Under 9 53.16% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 25.57% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.43% (-0.01)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 37.39% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 62.61% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 15.4% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.6% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.03% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.97% (-0.02)

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 71.2% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 28.8% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 39.14% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 60.86% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 16.06% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 83.94% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 5.49% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.51% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 36.11%
Draw 26.02%
PAOK 37.87%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 8.64%
2-1 @ 8.02% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.82% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64%
Other @ 4.82% (+0.02)
Total : 36.11%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 7%
2-2 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.21% (+0.01)
Total : 26.02%
PAOK
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.1% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.84% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
Other @ 5.28% (-0.05)
Total : 37.87%

Head to Head

Europa League
Feb 19, 2026 5.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Toumbas
  • Abdul Rahman Baba 67' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Chatsidis 67' yellowcard
  • Giannis Michailidis 67' yellowcard
  • Giannis Michailidis 68' yellowcard
  • Alexander Jeremejeff 77' goal
  • goal Iago Aspas 34'
  • goal Williot Swedberg 43'
  • yellowcard Ferran Jutglà 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Rueda 61'
  • yellowcard Javi Rueda 62'
  • yellowcard Hugo Álvarez 66'
  • yellowcard Fer López 66'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 86'
Europa League
Oct 2, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT