Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a AEL Larissa win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.