Greek Superleague
Feb 22, 2026 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT AEL Arena
  • Gaël Kakuta 59' yellowcard
  • Ángelo Sagal 62' goal
  • Savvas Mourgos 82' yellowcard
  • Konstantinos Apostolakis 89' yellowcard
  • Facundo Pérez 89' yellowcard
  • goal Dimitrios Chatsidis 14'
  • yellowcard Antonis Tsiftsis 46'
  • yellowcard Alexander Jeremejeff 68'
  • yellowcard Mady Camara 68'
  • yellowcard Jonjoe Kenny 87'

AEL Larissa vs PAOK - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEL Larissa

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 7.00pm
Panathinaikos 1 - 1 Larissa
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
Ángelo Sagal

PAOK

All competitions
Greek Superleague
Last game
Feb 15, 2026 5.30pm
PAOK 0 - 0 AEK Athens
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Giorgos Giakoumakis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 50.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for AEL Larissa had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.85%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%) , while for a AEL Larissa win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result

AEL Larissa 23.48% (-0.04)
Draw 25.9%
PAOK 50.62% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.46% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.1% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 26.9% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 48.23% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 51.77% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 26.68% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 73.32% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 14.56% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.44% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

AEL Larissa 22.05%
Draw 41.49%
PAOK 36.46%

Team To Score First

AEL Larissa 35.4% (+0.04)
No Goal 7.97% (+0.05)
PAOK 56.63% (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 45.01% (+0.15)
Equal 8 12.45% (+0.02)
Under 8 42.54% (-0.17)
Over 9 33.55% (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.46% (+0.03)
Under 9 54.99% (-0.15)
Over 10.5 23.86% (+0.08)
Under 10.5 76.14% (-0.08)

AEL Larissa Goals

Over 1.5 24.56% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 75.44% (+0.07)
Over 2.5 7.32% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.68% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.8%
Under 3.5 98.2%

PAOK Goals

Over 0.5 77.79% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.21% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 46.7% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 53.3% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 21.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.88% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.12% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AEL Larissa 23.5%
Draw 25.9%
PAOK 50.61%
AEL Larissa
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 5.73% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.05%
3-2 @ 1.47% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.2% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.75% (+0.02)
Total : 23.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.97% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.01)
Total : 25.9%
PAOK
0-1 @ 11.36% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 9.85% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 9.2% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.94% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66%
Other @ 7.83% (+0.03)
Total : 50.61%

Head to Head

Greek Superleague
Aug 24, 2025 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Greek Superleague Gameweek 14
Jan 3, 2021 3.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steliano Filip 55' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Pinakas 69' goal
  • Dimitris Pinakas 83' yellowcard
  • Manolis Bertos 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sverrir Ingi Ingason 88'
  • goal Vieirinha 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Fernando Varela 90'+7'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 1
Sep 11, 2020 6.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Toumbas
  • Christos Tzolis 16' goal
  • Sverrir Ingi Ingason 40' yellowcard
  • Omar El Kaddouri 56' yellowcard
  • Dimitris Pelkas 69' yellowcard
  • Giannis Michailidis 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Adnan Secerovic 26'
  • yellowcard Fiorin Durmishaj 42'
  • yellowcard Nikola Trujic 49'
  • yellowcard Tim Sparv 53'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 24
Feb 15, 2020 3.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT AEL FC Arena
  • Athanasios Papazoglou 34' yellowcard
  • Svetozar Markovic 52' yellowcard
  • Theocharis Iliadis 67' goal
  • goal Dimitris Limnios 14'
  • goal Douglas 45'
  • yellowcard Sverrir Ingi Ingason 90'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 11
Nov 24, 2019 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Toumbas (Thessaloníki)
  • Karol Swiderski 16' goal
  • yellowcard Radomir Milosavljevic 25'
  • yellowcard Adnan Secerovic 38'
  • yellowcard Fatjon Andoni 45'
  • yellowcard Alexios Michail 71'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bustos 76'
  • redcard Alexios Michail 92'
Greek Superleague Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2019 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT AEL Arena (Larissa)
  • Fatjon Andoni 5' yellowcard
  • Nikola Jakimovski 64' goal
  • Slavko Bralic 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitris Limnios 51'
  • goal Dimitris Pelkas 55'